December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Storm
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

00z Euro has limbs.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Storm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 03, 2025 10:26 pm 00z Euro has limbs.
Nito!
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The 00Z CMC Ensembles are insane. Member 4 is showing 24hr rainfall totals of 316mm in Abbotsford. Thankfully, it's obviously an extreme outlier. If that were to verify, we would be looking at another devastating flood. While it's very common for the Canadian model to output ridiculously overdone precipitation totals, I don't remember the last time I've seen one that extreme. Nevertheless, it definitely looks very wet next week. :thumbup: :wave:

cmc-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_qpf_24-4806400.png
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Last edited by AbbyJr on Wed Dec 03, 2025 11:37 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Wed Dec 03, 2025 11:31 pm The 00Z CMC Ensembles are insane. Member 4 shows a 24hr rainfall total of 316mm in Abbotsford. Thankfully, it's an obvious extreme outlier. If that were to verify, we would be looking at another devastating flood. While I'm used to the Canadian model putting out ridiculously overdone precipitation totals, I don't remember the last time I've seen one that extreme. Nevertheless, it looks very wet next week. :thumbup: :wave:


cmc-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_qpf_24-4806400.png
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: ↑Wed Dec 03, 2025 11:10 pmNito!
He's busy preparing for the pineapples next week. :raindrip:

:dancepine: :dance: :dancepine:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AR next Monday. :alert: :raindrip:

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_43.png
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_21.png
icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_40.png
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (13).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (14).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (15).png



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20251204100126-bed1e2acaf71c41202c1460e081246734c85c9ad.png
20251204100044-153808392952727b2f5fd4f89a414f3db4d9b871.png
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

ahaha 06z GFS has a EEEEEUGE pineapple festival in the LR. Like wow..check it out. Can you say bommy?
Tell us again Nito!!

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Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

EC has adjusted the Abby forecast now :roll:
Basically rain over the next 7 days with H9-10c and Lows 6-8c. Again :roll:

Early-mid December on the Wetcoast!! :x :x
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The 00z EPSgram has precipitation members up to 150mm.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

#itwillsoonbe
#beginningofFeb

:wave:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Bring the rain.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Looks like a ton of :dancepine: :dance: :dancepine: with potential of the trough going offshore to bring in more :dancepine:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 04, 2025 9:45 am Looks like a ton of :dancepine: :dance: :dancepine: with potential of the trough going offshore to bring in more :dancepine:
Yup..instead of a Reload of Arctic air, we be getting a reload of Pineapples instead bahahaha :lol: :lol:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

in other words, the 850's be like M
instead of W
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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