December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Models this AM continue to moderate the airmass within the 10 day period. The chance of a white christmas is around 20% this year which is better than 0.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 16, 2025 9:18 am Models this AM continue to moderate the airmass within the 10 day period. The chance of a white christmas is around 20% this year which is better than 0.
The pineapple 🍍 of reason has spoken forum friends. :D l tend to believe Mr. pineapple this time. :o
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 16, 2025 9:18 am Models this AM continue to moderate the airmass within the 10 day period. The chance of a white christmas is around 20% this year which is better than 0.
There’s a chance!
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Tue Dec 16, 2025 9:42 am There’s a chance!
:lol: 😁 Don't stop believing Mr. Chilliwackian man.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

On this day in 2022 we eagerly anticipated the coming storm :clap:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Alrighty, time to reset for the next model fail!

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-t850_anom_stream-7031200.png
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Wow! The Euro was a banger!

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-6880000.png
Edit: The 925s and 850s seem to support snow the whole way, albeit it's close.
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Last edited by PortKells on Tue Dec 16, 2025 10:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Hawk wrote: ↑Tue Dec 16, 2025 6:53 am Sadly, you could almost use the same digits this year, except add a ++ to them instead :shock: :shock:
Sadly?
darth_vader_nice_torch.jpg
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Dec 16, 2025 10:05 am Wow! The Euro was a banger!


ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-6880000.png

Edit: The 925s and 850s seem to support snow the whole way, albeit it's close.
Alas that has terrain bleed written all over it.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Dec 16, 2025 10:03 am Alrighty, time to reset for the next model fail!


ecmwf-deterministic-namer-t850_anom_stream-7031200.png
At least it's the Euro this time?

:shrug:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Unless I'm mis-reading things.. Euro looks a bit snowy for the 25th?

:dunno:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Dec 16, 2025 10:05 am Wow! The Euro was a banger!
:lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Tue Dec 16, 2025 10:09 am Alas that has terrain bleed written all over it.
Not sure I agree this time. I looked at the relevant temps (925, 850 and 2m) and they all supported at least sloppy snow at the worst. I would also say there's a lot more detail - terrain bleed snow tends to just be one line down from the northwest to the southeast. There's probably some bleed in this but I think it's a lot more than that.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

More improvements...I'm not ready to be hurt again...
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_c_dprog-6512800.png
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Dec 16, 2025 10:29 am More improvements...I'm not ready to be hurt again...

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_c_dprog-6512800.png
Longer range aside, there are some encouraging improvements in the shorter term... always nice to see.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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