December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Supposedly the best model:

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-8435200.png
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 11:01 pm Supposedly the best model:


Solid improvements! Still a ways to go but the cold could totally shift west with that modelled upper level pattern. I remain interested. :wave:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

could see some sloppy flurries or slushfestivals again next week :think:
there could be even more victories on the way buttees! :shh:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

It could be worse...

MONTHLY RECORDS IN NUNAVUT

7.6°C Pangnirtung [previous record: 7.0°C, 1998] ➡️ NEW DECEMBER RECORD FOR NUNAVUT

4.3°C Iqaluit [previous record: 3.8°C, 2010]

Info by M. Goose, not TWN or anyone else. ;)
https://x.com/ThierryGooseBC/status/200 ... 28091?s=20
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

And we're stuck in the mud again, trying to get momentum towards this thing. Nito, you were right :roll: (so far)
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Nito's just killing it again this winter. :clap: :clap:
Enjoy the upcoming mild rains followed by Ridguary 2026 :cancel: :flakey: :flakey: :cancel:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The only model that really improved this morning, luckily it's supposedly the best.
ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-8478400.png
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Wed Dec 31, 2025 11:41 am The only model that really improved this morning, luckily it's supposedly the best.

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-8478400.png
It's comforting to know all models are lost right now. We really have no clue what will happen. In my opinion, the most likely outcome based on climo along with the LRC is a multi-week ridge followed by retrogression in Feb but it's more of a hypothesis.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

I'm curious how 2025 stacks up in terms of precip and temperatures compared to 2024.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Dec 31, 2025 1:23 pm I'm curious how 2025 stacks up in terms of precip and temperatures compared to 2024.
Goose prolly has the digits. Nov and Dec were a disaster for warmth waj
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Dec 31, 2025 1:23 pm I'm curious how 2025 stacks up in terms of precip and temperatures compared to 2024.
All the figures will be published tomorrow on X.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Beautiful sunny crisp day on the bump today. I’m not sure if people in the lowlands have been fogged in all day again or not. Hopefully you are all enjoying some sunshine :thumbup:

Happy new year to all my buttees!
:wave:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Wed Dec 31, 2025 11:41 am The only model that really improved this morning, luckily it's supposedly the best.

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-8478400.png
Better for us to be on the eastern axis of a ridge rather than the other way around, to avoid pineapples. Looks eerily similar to the pattern we saw in the second half of January last winter, plus 2014 and 2013:
aftMl4P0be.png
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Fog cleared up in east Coquitlam around noon, after being socked in all day yesterday. Temps shot up as soon as it cleared, from 3c to 7c which currently stands as today's high.

Fog will likely redevelop this evening. Low was 0.5c this AM and will probably dip to around there again tonight.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Dec 31, 2025 2:53 pm Better for us to be on the eastern axis of a ridge rather than the other way around, to avoid pineapples. Looks eerily similar to the pattern we saw in the second half of January last winter, plus 2014 and 2013:
Bad for mountain snow, right?
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