February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Tue Feb 10, 2026 6:49 pm Some potential for a battleground situation here.
The battle would be Nito standing on the north shore trying to use the force against the arctic push. Maybe with a pineapple coloured light sabre.
Kells you had me @ pineapple light sabre. :wtf: :lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

:alert:
gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1632000.png
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Tue Feb 10, 2026 9:12 pm :alert:

gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1632000.png
North of the Fraser and valley special. :?
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:alert: :alert: :alert:

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-1696800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-1696800.png
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Last edited by AbbyJr on Tue Feb 10, 2026 10:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The AIFS is going all in:
ecmwf-aifs-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1632000.png
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The 20th is our current target.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-1696800.png
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

I'm not allowing myself to get excited just yet but there is a credible chance of some low elevation snowfall late month. :silent: :wave: :flakey:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

That sure is a lot of phantom snow...
:typing: :type3:
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Feb 10, 2026 10:50 pm That sure is a lot of phantom snow...
On the AIFS, yes. But the Euro is colder with subzero temps during the snowfall as the low stalls offshore. Unfortunately, it's still fantasy. :wave: :14clown:
Maps valid for Friday/Saturday February 20th/21st:

4:00PM:
4PMecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-1632000.png
4PMecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_6hr_mm-1632000.png

10:00PM:
10PMecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-1653600.png
10PMecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_6hr_mm-1653600.png

4:00AM:
4AMecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-1675200.png
4AMecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_6hr_mm-1675200.png
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Feb 10, 2026 10:50 pm That sure is a lot of phantom snow...
Ok
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Tue Feb 10, 2026 11:21 pmOk
OMG the most excitement this winter 🥶
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp-0768000.png
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Hawk
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

daily 06z gfs update:
enjoy some potentially sloppy snows over the next several days. After 4-5 days, who knows. Current run has the King gfs showing marginal temps, some sloppy snow, with a warm up at the end :lol: :lol:

Could be mostly rain, or could be a decent amount of snows :shock: :shock:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Wed Feb 11, 2026 6:46 am daily 06z gfs update:
enjoy some potentially sloppy snows over the next several days. After 4-5 days, who knows. Current run has the King gfs showing marginal temps, some sloppy snow, with a warm up at the end :lol: :lol:

Could be mostly rain, or could be a decent amount of snows :shock: :shock:
At bare minimum it's a great pattern for mountain snows and the samilkymilky region.
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