February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

18Z Euro seems to be calling for a "heavy precip drags the snow level down" scenario Monday night into Tuesday morning.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_3hr_mm-1329600.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-1329600.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-dew2m_c-1329600.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-1329600.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Fri Feb 13, 2026 2:31 pm I just don't understand why this would need to be said 400 times a winter (recently with excessive laughing emojis attached, not by you but another poster) when not one single person here has indicated they don't understand how snow maps work. They're still useful in telling us that there is *potential* for a snowfall.

Every single poster here understands that the snow total maps need to be high in order to get something like 10 cms out of an event, especially this far out. Do we need to ban snow maps in case some lurker takes them verbatim and goes and invests their life savings on snow gear? Or I guess just explain these facts every. single. time. we feel like posting a snow map? I guess I'll do that.
I think some people might just be joking around for fun. :thumbup:
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Total from that event.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-1362000.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

We could be beating a dead horse and nothing comes of this up coming cool down higher sun angles and climo goes against us. :(
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

:alert: :alert: The following image shall be taken with multiple spoonfuls of salt! It may contain phantom snow, terrain bleed, or be a complete fragment of your imagination. Please accept it as a form of entertainment. Thank you for your attention to this matter :alert: :alert:
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-1599600.png
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Fri Feb 13, 2026 8:24 pm :alert: :alert: The following image shall be taken with multiple spoonfuls of salt! It may contain phantom snow, terrain bleed, or be a complete fragment of your imagination. Please accept it as a form of entertainment. Thank you for your attention to this matter :alert: :alert:

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-1599600.png
Butt butt it actually looks believable Kells. :lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

And the Euro has completely back off its over good night folks. :(
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

First time NAM has showed lowland snow all season.

Image

Global models take that trough too far offshore and keep us mostly dry next week.
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Feb 14, 2026 6:29 am First time NAM has showed lowland snow all season.

Image

Global models take that trough too far offshore and keep us mostly dry next week.
in what will likely be our first in a series of Springtime Slush festivals next week. Lets face the facts!
But better than anything else we've had this "winter", plus things could turn in our favour too :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

06Z Euro doesn’t look too shabby.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_6hr_mm-1340400.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-1340400.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-1340400.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Goofus shows a North of the Fraser Special, but temps are warmer, so iffy.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-refc_ptype-1264800.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-1264800.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-1329600.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Feb 14, 2026 7:44 am 06Z Euro doesn’t look too shabby.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_6hr_mm-1340400.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-1340400.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-1340400.png
Obligatory Phantom snow and terrain bleed most likely. Winter is over. :lol: :lol:
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

I actually just got a brief snow shower in willoughby. it looked real. Must’ve been AI :lol:
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Wow heavy wet snow shower/graupel here.
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

The local Mtns shud look tremendous once the clouds clear out today :clap:
:flakey: :flakey: :flakey:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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