February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (48).png

12z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (49).png

12z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (50).png

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

20260214225934-e0f868d529bf10d92fbb3637f41661e147e0ad0b.png

20260214225925-2a3ca376b2968a699ab40e352d6d244ef33d6823.png

[Typeing3]

Screenshot 2026-02-14 150121.png

Screenshot 2026-02-14 150143.png

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (48).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (49).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (50).png




-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
20260214225934-e0f868d529bf10d92fbb3637f41661e147e0ad0b.png
20260214225925-2a3ca376b2968a699ab40e352d6d244ef33d6823.png

Looks awesome cold enough for sea level slush.

[Typeing3]

Looks awesome cold enough for sea level slush.

[Typeing3]

Interesting development on recent runs of the ECMWF as they have progressively been increasing the depth and strength of the arctic airmass that will flood into the north and interior on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.

12z run showed some of that cold air pushing and spill through the gaps and valleys and the modified stuff reaching the south coast by Wednesday evening followed by outflow potentially ramping up in the usual spots by Thursday morning with temps dropping well below freezing. More cold air spilling out over the ocean spins up a weak low south of Vancouver Island and over the Washington coast that sags south into Oregon while temps struggle to crack 0c thereafter by Thursday afternoon across the Lower Mainland.

ecmwf_T850_nwus_fh102_trend.gif

ecmwf_mslp_wind_nwus_41.png

ecmwf_T2m_nwus_42.png

[John]

Interesting development on recent runs of the ECMWF as they have progressively been increasing the depth and strength of the arctic airmass that will flood into the north and interior on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.

12z run showed some of that cold air pushing and spill through the gaps and valleys and the modified stuff reaching the south coast by Wednesday evening followed by outflow potentially ramping up in the usual spots by Thursday morning with temps dropping well below freezing. More cold air spilling out over the ocean spins up a weak low south of Vancouver Island and over the Washington coast that sags south into Oregon while temps struggle to crack 0c thereafter by Thursday afternoon across the Lower Mainland.

ecmwf_T850_nwus_fh102_trend.gif
ecmwf_mslp_wind_nwus_41.png
ecmwf_T2m_nwus_42.png

Keep an eye on it thanks!

[Hawk]

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (48).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (49).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (50).png




-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
20260214225934-e0f868d529bf10d92fbb3637f41661e147e0ad0b.png
20260214225925-2a3ca376b2968a699ab40e352d6d244ef33d6823.png

best maps of the season

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Keep an eye on it thanks!

How strong will the outflow be John.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Interesting development on recent runs of the ECMWF as they have progressively been increasing the depth and strength of the arctic airmass that will flood into the north and interior on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.

12z run showed some of that cold air pushing and spill through the gaps and valleys and the modified stuff reaching the south coast by Wednesday evening followed by outflow potentially ramping up in the usual spots by Thursday morning with temps dropping well below freezing. More cold air spilling out over the ocean spins up a weak low south of Vancouver Island and over the Washington coast that sags south into Oregon while temps struggle to crack 0c thereafter by Thursday afternoon across the Lower Mainland.

ecmwf_T850_nwus_fh102_trend.gif
ecmwf_mslp_wind_nwus_41.png
ecmwf_T2m_nwus_42.png

It's about to get real Tman. no WPro sighting.

[PortKells]

This is what I’ve been saying…

IMG_2465.png

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Keep an eye on it thanks!

Does that mean the moisture shuts off as the Arctic fluff reaches us Tfluff.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

This is what I’ve been saying…


IMG_2465.png

Noice Kells.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Interesting development on recent runs of the ECMWF as they have progressively been increasing the depth and strength of the arctic airmass that will flood into the north and interior on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.

12z run showed some of that cold air pushing and spill through the gaps and valleys and the modified stuff reaching the south coast by Wednesday evening followed by outflow potentially ramping up in the usual spots by Thursday morning with temps dropping well below freezing. More cold air spilling out over the ocean spins up a weak low south of Vancouver Island and over the Washington coast that sags south into Oregon while temps struggle to crack 0c thereafter by Thursday afternoon across the Lower Mainland.

ecmwf_T850_nwus_fh102_trend.gif
ecmwf_mslp_wind_nwus_41.png
ecmwf_T2m_nwus_42.png

Great Portlanders get hammered.

[PortKells]

It is an absolute shame this didn’t come a month earlier. Sun angles will be a big time issue. Snow might accumulate and then melt before the next round. However, it’s a something.

[AbbyJr]

Snowfall for the Fraser Valley late Monday through early Tuesday morning
This is not phantom snow as most of the precip falls during the evening and overnight when the temps are subfreezing.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-1322400.png