February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Feb 14, 2026 10:23 pm :alert: Snowfall for the Fraser Valley late Monday through early Tuesday morning :alert:
This is not phantom snow as most of the precip falls during the evening and overnight when the temps are subfreezing. :silent: :think: :wave:


ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-1322400.png
Another Vancouver proper focused event so soon after Feb 2025? Send it to the heartlands!
Last edited by PortKells on Sat Feb 14, 2026 10:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Feb 14, 2026 10:23 pm :alert: Snowfall for the Fraser Valley late Monday through early Tuesday morning :alert:
This is not phantom snow as most of the precip falls during the evening and overnight when the temps are subfreezing. :silent: :think: :wave:


ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-1322400.png
Have we lost Monty and skipper Grumps. :( :? looks good Abby Jr. :thumbup:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Sat Feb 14, 2026 10:28 pm Another Vancouver proper focused event so soon after Feb 2025? Send it to the heartlands!
Have faith think positive Kells.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Feb 14, 2026 4:23 pm Interesting development on recent runs of the ECMWF as they have progressively been increasing the depth and strength of the arctic airmass that will flood into the north and interior on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.

12z run showed some of that cold air pushing and spill through the gaps and valleys and the modified stuff reaching the south coast by Wednesday evening followed by outflow potentially ramping up in the usual spots by Thursday morning with temps dropping well below freezing. More cold air spilling out over the ocean spins up a weak low south of Vancouver Island and over the Washington coast that sags south into Oregon while temps struggle to crack 0c thereafter by Thursday afternoon across the Lower Mainland.

ecmwf_T850_nwus_fh102_trend.gif
ecmwf_mslp_wind_nwus_41.png
ecmwf_T2m_nwus_42.png
Could be a cold morning on Thursday. Maps valid for 7:00AM. :silent: :wave:

2m temps:
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-1513200.png

Wind chill:
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-apparent_temperature_c-1513200.png
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Last edited by AbbyJr on Sat Feb 14, 2026 10:36 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

GEM :alert:
IMG_2467.png
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

GFS :alert:
IMG_2468.png
Nam :alert:
IMG_2469.png
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Sat Feb 14, 2026 10:34 pm GEM :alert:

IMG_2467.png
Insane l want to get excited but l have my suspicions l guess will see.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

HarrisonSasquatchWx wrote: Sat Feb 14, 2026 11:00 pm Insane l want to get excited but l have my suspicions l guess will see.
Probably more localized winners like last year. Just hope that you are in the score zone bud. I'm tempted to believe it'll be more widespread than last Feb, but who knows. I think Vancouver has a great shot at this first round, second round further east.
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Not. Gonna. Happen.
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Feb 14, 2026 11:15 pm Not. Gonna. Happen.
:bang: :bang: :bang:
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Feb 14, 2026 11:33 pm :bang: :bang: :bang:
Team pineapple 🍍 Mr. Goose.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Feb 14, 2026 11:15 pm Not. Gonna. Happen.
My backyard is getting 116 cm, get used to it.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-2344800.png
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Granddaddyp2233 »

Rather then shoot for the moon aim for the stars so you at least hit something
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

06z gfs update:
Some sun and a showery week ahead, with some slush Monday and again Thursday. Thursday has the potential to switch to all snow in the local snow zones for a good portion of the precip timing. Climb a hill on Thursday and stay there all day buttees :P
Next week ends with another :dance: on Sunday, followed by another cool down and back to more slush potentially. Lets keep our fingers crossed for week #2 :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Looks like everyone except for a few coastal areas had a freeze this morning.

Abbotsford -3.0°C
Agassiz -0.3°C
Burns Bog -3.7°C
Hope -0.5°C
Langley -3.7°C
MBY -2.0˚C
Pitt Meadows -2.9°C
Squamish -2.6°C
Vancouver Harbour 0.9°C
Vancouver YVR -1.7°C
West Vancouver 0.1°C
White Rock -0.5°C
It's called clown range for a reason.
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