February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

I don’t understand the dismissiveness from Goose. Sure, that terrain bleed phantom snow isn’t happening. But it is clear that it is going to get cold enough for lowland snow and there will at times be moisture around, and these are not clown range forecasts. Best chance of getting something interesting all season long. I’d be surprised if no lowland location gets snow. At least someone’s going to score sometime with this. All it will take is a heavier shower hitting at the right time.

And now Fraser outflow is starting to show up in the models. More chances as that interacts with moisture on both the arriving and departing ends.

[Hawk]

I don’t understand the dismissiveness from Goose. Sure, that terrain bleed phantom snow isn’t happening. But it is clear that it is going to get cold enough for lowland snow and there will at times be moisture around, and these are not clown range forecasts. Best chance of getting something interesting all season long. I’d be surprised if no lowland location gets snow. At least someone’s going to score sometime with this. All it will take is a heavier shower hitting at the right time.

And now Fraser outflow is starting to show up in the models. More chances as that interacts with moisture on both the arriving and departing ends.

He is on team Rubus in March, it won’t snow

[Hawk]

We are all patiently waiting for TheNito analysis this morning

[PortKells]

We are all patiently waiting for TheNito analysis this morning

Especially after some not great looking runs. Rug pull?

[PortKells]

ecmwf-aifs-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1502400.png

gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1502400.png

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1502400.png

nam-218-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1459200.png

[PortKells]

nbm-conus-vancouverski-total_snow_cm-1610400.png

[John]

We are all patiently waiting for TheNito analysis this morning

No, I am not

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

nbm-conus-vancouverski-total_snow_cm-1610400.png

2.5 km resolution on this one means much less likely to be phantom snow. Not much terrain bleed. Issue is getting the precip type wrong given the temperatures, but at least some of the time temperatures will support lowland snow this week.

[Typeing3]

Looks like everyone except for a few coastal areas had a freeze this morning.

Abbotsford -3.0°C
Agassiz -0.3°C
Burns Bog -3.7°C
Hope -0.5°C
Langley -3.7°C
MBY -2.0˚C
Pitt Meadows -2.9°C
Squamish -2.6°C
Vancouver Harbour 0.9°C
Vancouver YVR -1.7°C
West Vancouver 0.1°C
White Rock -0.5°C

East Coquitlam: -2c

[wetcoast91]

No, I am not

We need WeatherPro's input..

[Typeing3]

06z ECMWF
Thursday morning surface temps

ecmwf_T2m_nwus_36.png

[stuffradio]

Let it snow?

[wetcoast91]

Not really much moisture this week.

[Pumpkin Seed]

Not really much moisture this week.

Let’s put our humidifiers outside, how’s that?

[PortKells]

Eye stands strong

IMG_2470.png