February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

;) ..then stalls over us while spinning up a surface Low in the golden spot that dumps 10-20cms. Hey, we can dream
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Mon Feb 16, 2026 11:00 am I can report that there is currently :flakey: of the :raindrip: variety falling outside.

Victory?

:think:
We're going to get to +7C with the sunbreaks today. So....sticking snow is looking less likely.
Hawk wrote: Mon Feb 16, 2026 11:24 am ;) ..then stalls over us while spinning up a surface Low in the golden spot that dumps 10-20cms. Hey, we can dream
That doesn't happen here anymore.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Hound wrote: Mon Feb 16, 2026 10:39 am Well, of course EC watered down the forecast again. So different from last night. Typical.
At this point I just want 1 snow day, and then this garbage winter can FRO!
Just had a some hail for about 5 or so minutes.
Temp 3.1 DP +1
Excellent. Their forecasts tend to bust, so would rather have this than them being bullish on :flakey:.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Currently partly sunny and 6.6C, dew point 2.1C

This feels like one of those patterns where some areas get a trace or nothing, while others get 2-5 cm. But with daytime highs above freezing and sunny breaks, any accumulation is going to be quite brief.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2025/26
Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: Mon Feb 16, 2026 9:35 am C'mon Euro. Win this one round.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1326000.png
18Z (10:00 local tomorrow morning) Kuchera ratio. If only…
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-1351200.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Feb 16, 2026 11:38 am Excellent. Their forecasts tend to bust, so would rather have this than them being bullish on :flakey:.
Yes, they are all too often an alternative spelling of bullish...
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

NAM comes in with a bullseye 5 km south of my backyard :alert:
nam-nest-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-1318800.png
HRDPS bullseye 5 km west of me :alert:

hrdps-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-1416000.png
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Hawk
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

PortKells wrote: Mon Feb 16, 2026 12:24 pm NAM comes in with a bullseye 5 km south of my backyard :alert:

nam-nest-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-1318800.png

HRDPS bullseye 5 km west of me :alert:


hrdps-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-1416000.png
:shock: :shock:
Those have Willoughby SnowZone written all over them
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

King Nam!! :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Go Chilliwack!
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

And now we have 5 km to my east :lol:
hrrr-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1333200.png
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

PortKells wrote: Mon Feb 16, 2026 12:39 pm And now we have 5 km to my east :lol:

hrrr-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1333200.png
That was my fault. I think this will be a now cast situation
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Feb 16, 2026 11:26 am We're going to get to +7C with the sunbreaks today. So....sticking snow is looking less likely.



That doesn't happen here anymore.
All the while, Toronto has another winter storm Wednesday.

It's actually crazy how bad this winter has been in Vancouver.
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Abby_wx wrote: Mon Feb 16, 2026 11:38 am Currently partly sunny and 6.6C, dew point 2.1C

This feels like one of those patterns where some areas get a trace or nothing, while others get 2-5 cm. But with daytime highs above freezing and sunny breaks, any accumulation is going to be quite brief.
Agreed. I've never liked patterns like these, never considered it real snow, but beggars can't be choosers, so fingers crossed.
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Mon Feb 16, 2026 11:00 am I can report that there is currently :flakey: of the :raindrip: variety falling outside.

Victory?

:think:
Yeah, it was snowing near Mundy Park around 11am. Wasn't accumulating though.
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