February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Feb 05, 2020 2:49 pm 18Z GFS is way better. :thumbup:
:o John l thought you wanted spring have you changed your mind?
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Wed Feb 05, 2020 5:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

1060mb high that's getting up there the Feb 1989 cold spell was something like 1070mb l recall in past years a 1060mb high was usually a given and sure enough we'd get Arctic air now they are far and few between.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Wed Feb 05, 2020 5:39 pm 1060mb high that's getting up there the Feb 1989 cold spell was something like 1070mb l recall in past years a 1060mb high was usually a given and sure enough we'd get Arctic air now they are far and few between.
You seem rested.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Storm wrote: Wed Feb 05, 2020 5:41 pmYou seem rested.
Why thank you Stormer yes sleep does wonders. :D kinda hyped this morning reality sets in now. On my 4 days off now so model roller coaster here we come.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Feb 05, 2020 11:52 am How much rain has everyone seen in the Abbotsford area since the transition last night? I had to bring my gauge in when it was snowing.

Just put it back outside.
l don't think you missed much rainfall Jr. It snowed all night at my work and switched over to a very light mix at 4:30a.m. l was surprised how long it stayed as snow but there wasn't much more accumulation during the night it came down pretty good too.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Wed Feb 05, 2020 5:39 pm 1060mb high that's getting up there the Feb 1989 cold spell was something like 1070mb l recall in past years a 1060mb high was usually a given and sure enough we'd get Arctic air now they are far and few between.
1060mb high? If that verifies... :clap:
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Let's not forget about the extreme temperatures the GFS was spitting out before the Jan cold snap... reality ended up being about 10C warmer. Even the more conservative ECMWF was about 3-5C too cold at one point.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Abby_wx wrote: Wed Feb 05, 2020 7:09 pm Let's not forget about the extreme temperatures the GFS was spitting out before the Jan cold snap... reality ended up being about 10C warmer. Even the more conservative ECMWF was about 3-5C too cold at one point.
It's also mid February. But one can only hope. :thumbup:
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Good point Abby Sr. But i do give the GFS huge credits for snagging that cold pool of air 14 days out. Amazing really. It was a VERY cold airmass, and with a cupla small details different, could have been an extremely cold airmass. Alas, the Pacific Ocean was too much. As was the globally warm temps this winter. Considering how warm the rest of the northern hemisphere winter has been the last several weeks, we had quite the cold considering. :think: :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Its too bad all this cold and snow from all the last 4 Febs didnt show up in the Dec 15 -Jan 31 timeframe instead. Coulda/Woulda been some massive snow dumps that lasted.
Maybe one of these years we will thread the needle and deliver the goods in that timespan instead, like it did in 2008. What a beauty winter streak of 2 weeks that was. Geezus. Cant believe that has been 11 years already
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Hawk wrote: Wed Feb 05, 2020 7:26 pm Its too bad all this cold and snow from all the last 4 Febs didnt show up in the Dec 15 -Jan 31 timeframe instead. Coulda/Woulda been some massive snow dumps that lasted.
Maybe one of these years we will thread the needle and deliver the goods in that timespan instead, like it did in 2008. What a beauty winter streak of 2 weeks that was. Geezus. Cant believe that has been 11 years already
Why do you always say geezus?
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Abby_wx wrote: Wed Feb 05, 2020 7:09 pm Let's not forget about the extreme temperatures the GFS was spitting out before the Jan cold snap... reality ended up being about 10C warmer. Even the more conservative ECMWF was about 3-5C too cold at one point.
Yes good points Abby Sr. are you house hunting yet or waiting till spring/summer. I notice one thing my work area near Sumas is absolutely a non snow area seems your locale to the north of my work falls in that zone unfortunately. I hope you find a location you like and for better snowfalls. :thumbup:
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: Wed Feb 05, 2020 7:31 pm Why do you always say geezus?
:lol: cause he thinks he is. :lol:
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Abby_wx wrote: Wed Feb 05, 2020 7:09 pm Let's not forget about the extreme temperatures the GFS was spitting out before the Jan cold snap... reality ended up being about 10C warmer. Even the more conservative ECMWF was about 3-5C too cold at one point.
That's true but it was cloudy. With clear skies, we would have got around -15C in YVR.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Friday night/Saturday snow levels a little lower.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_10.png
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Last edited by PortKells on Wed Feb 05, 2020 7:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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