February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Willoughby wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 7:33 pm I saw the same thing with the NAM too.
Seems like it’s been gradually hinting at Thursday AM system coming in colder last few runs.

My gut feeling all along was that the t-storm activity around the Indian Ocean are really throwing the models for a loop, especially anywhere mid to long term and that a good bet was for chilly NW flow with multiple borderline fringe snow events for the next couple weeks.
Euro looks similar at the 500mb level but I dont have the snowmaps so I guess we'll see.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Willoughby wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 7:33 pm I saw the same thing with the NAM too.
Seems like it’s been gradually hinting at Thursday AM system coming in colder last few runs.

My gut feeling all along was that the t-storm activity around the Indian Ocean are really throwing the models for a loop, especially anywhere mid to long term and that a good bet was for chilly NW flow with multiple borderline fringe snow events for the next couple weeks.
l wouldn't be surprised as well Willoughby.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Catnip
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

700F0B02-CCE9-451F-A68A-060E7F5195C3.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 8:16 pm 700F0B02-CCE9-451F-A68A-060E7F5195C3.png
An inch for John's house. :lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Willoughby
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Willoughby »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 8:16 pm 700F0B02-CCE9-451F-A68A-060E7F5195C3.png
I’d ask about the 00z GFS maps, but I’m beginning to think it’s got the accuracy and ingenuity of this...
F67467B0-E4E8-4684-B4C0-5D4E79244785.gif
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John
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 7:56 pm l wouldn't be surprised as well Willoughby.
Ok wise nose :lol:
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Willoughby wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 8:24 pm I’d ask about the 00z GFS maps, but I’m beginning to think it’s got the accuracy and ingenuity of this...

F67467B0-E4E8-4684-B4C0-5D4E79244785.gif
That's vicious.
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https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 8:31 pm Ok wise nose :lol:
Ok
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https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Willoughby wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 7:33 pm I saw the same thing with the NAM too.
Seems like it’s been gradually hinting at Thursday AM system coming in colder last few runs.

My gut feeling all along was that the t-storm activity around the Indian Ocean are really throwing the models for a loop, especially anywhere mid to long term and that a good bet was for chilly NW flow with multiple borderline fringe snow events for the next couple weeks.
I've wondered the same thing but I doubt we see the arctic solutions return on the models. But its unlikely we stay mild and ridgy. Chilly NW flow with marginal snow chances possible. May end up a bit colder then some models currently show.
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

I cannot wait for the first 20C and sunny/windy day.
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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PortKells
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Antares wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 10:20 pm I cannot wait for the first 20C and sunny/windy day.
20C? Probably looking at April, although March has delivered a few in recent years. We're basically back to all chilly/zonal for the next two weeks with some intermittent sunshine.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Snowing in the desert (more specifically, my parents place in New Mexico) this morning.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

desert_snow.jpg
Will probably all melt by this afternoon, because that’s the normal fate of desert snow here.
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bear Golden »

When is the snow expected to start on Friday?

Driving up to whistler around 2pm/...
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Bear Golden wrote: ↑Tue Feb 11, 2020 8:10 am When is the snow expected to start on Friday?

Driving up to whistler around 2pm/...
The afternoon looks pretty dry at this point.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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