January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 3:59 pm #beginningofFEB

:shrug:
I'm 99.9999% certain cold of that magnitude isn't going to happen. :lol:

Basically impossible in our current climate.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Dayung!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 4:04 pm I'm 99.9999% certain cold of that magnitude isn't going to happen. :lol:

Basically impossible in our current climate.
Yup.

But we can still shoot for some blue/purple departures.

:thumbup:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 4:10 pm Yup.

But we can still shoot for some blue/purple departures.

:thumbup:
Would probably still find a way to screw us in some way. 1c heavy rain and then rapidly dries out as temps drop to -5c.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 4:04 pm I'm 99.9999% certain cold of that magnitude isn't going to happen. :lol:

Basically impossible in our current climate.
lol..some ass created that cuz he probably wants to stick it to us. Nito..do you work for the GFS?? :think: :think:

Annnnd theres a Low sitting just off the Southern Island too bahahaha
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Yeah it’ll never get that cold but you need the extreme runs anyways so that when it moderates, it’s still worth a crap. My theory of clown range GFS.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 3:54 pm I would’ve said the same but.

21BD3EB5-5074-42CC-BC5A-0C076CCB6B16.png
Last time the operational had no ensemble support, the operational came the closest to verifying. :thumbup:

The GFS has surprisingly performed well in the long range with the general pattern, but its not good at the details.

So I'd sadly ignore the snow maps and the extreme nature of the cold its showing, but it could easily be right in terms of an arctic outbreak.
Last edited by AbbyJr on Mon Jan 25, 2021 4:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

-18C in mid February? :roll: Not happening. :lol:
gfs-operational-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-1597600.png
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

The arctic air struggles to get West of the Rockies..def more so in recent years. Yes blocking is good, but gimme a Yukon/PG High..that will bring the much needed cold temps here. The snows will come. There's something that gives me "snow" confidence about going into a snow event with a previous nights low of -12c or so :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 4:21 pm The arctic air struggles to get West of the Rockies..def more so in recent years. Yes blocking is good, but gimme a Yukon/PG High..that will bring the much needed cold temps here. The snows will come. There's something that gives me "snow" confidence about going into a snow event with a previous nights low of -12c or so :think:
PG HIGH

C’MON!!!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Hi WeatherPro! We had an epic fail Sunday lol. We all failed. All snowlovers :thumbdown: :thumbdown: Oh well.
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 3:09 pm 18Z GooFuS is arctic cold in the clown range. :clap: :thumbup:
FTFY.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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