February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

That same resilient Low seems to be tapping into more Pacific Ocean moisture now. What is going on here Nito?? Will this Low continue on its life and stay semi stationary, pumping moisture into the area? Whoa. :shock: :shock:
This may drop larger amounts of snow to the SE Island area.

:nocomment:
Last edited by Hawk on Wed Feb 10, 2021 2:14 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Esquimalt39
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:42 pm Yeah, this one looks to be improved for them at this point.

I think models were a bit overzealous with outflow limiting snow in metro van prior to the Dec 21/08 storm (similar to this one at the moment). YVR still ended up picking up 28cm with the event, including a one day total of 22cm.
I wouldn't be surprised with 25+ cm in Vancouver and 40+ cm in Victoria from this one. Really nice, high potential setup.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Brentzky »

Haven’t even seen a flake in Tsawwassen. Juuuuuust missing out from the looks of this.
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Esquimalt39 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:44 pm I wouldn't be surprised with 25+ cm in Vancouver and 40+ cm in Victoria from this one. Really nice, high potential setup.
Agree.

I edited my earlier post and added a map showing what the WRF looked like just a day prior to the Dec 20-21 event. I think we're in for a big one again.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:47 pm Agree.

I edited my earlier post and added a map showing what the WRF looked like just a day prior to the Dec 20-21 event. I think we're in for a big one again.
Looks like it underdid the totals here. I think it's doing the same thing this time (currently only showing 2 inches for vancouver, 8 inches for Victoria).
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by JaidynB »

Looking at radars the system is somewhat stationary above me. Lots of snow on Saltspring
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

I think “tantalize,” “disappointment,” or “frustation” are more appropriate words of the day.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

gfs_ref_frzn_nwus_11.png
gfs_ref_frzn_nwus_12.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Radar building back in strongly from the west...western sections? :think: :think:
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

18Z GFS has developed the main low and making landfall near Forks. Energy looks to be splitting but still gives a quick 5-10cm over Western LM. Van Island gets buried. Can see near 40cm.
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Esquimalt39
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:57 pm 18Z GFS has developed the main low and making landfall near Forks. Energy looks to be splitting but still gives a quick 5-10cm over Western LM. Van Island gets buried. Can see near 40cm.
Really worried about that trend. If it continues we could have a strong cut back even on the island in amounts.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:56 pm Radar building back in strongly from the west...western sections? :think: :think:
Yeah, it kinda just blew up suddenly.

:think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

PortKells wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:14 pm My temperature just barely snuck above the freezing mark and now back down to -.1. So close :x
I'm usually the warmest but it's still below zero, @ -1°
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:57 pm 18Z GFS has developed the main low and making landfall near Forks. Energy looks to be splitting but still gives a quick 5-10cm over Western LM. Van Island gets buried. Can see near 40cm.
More snow on Sunday. :thumbup:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Esquimalt39 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:58 pm Really worried about that trend. If it continues we could have a strong cut back even on the island in amounts.
This run looks to be an improvement over the last couple. We're slowly getting there.
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