June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

[John]

I noticed EC is calling for some wind in the morning and afternoon for the fraser valley, bit of outflow perhaps, blast furnace winds.

It’s gone be great

[John]

No wind forecast here, I hope the heat is short lived but at least it's cool at night so easy to cool the house down before the heat of the next day

You can cool down close to the ocean no?

[moonshadow0825]

Looks like EC is all in for next weekend, probably means it won't happen

EC 0620.PNG

[PortKells]

Looks like EC is all in for next weekend, probably means it won't happen

EC 0620.PNG

Its happening. A week out, its locked in. I'm guessing it'll get slightly watered down as it comes closer but there will be a prolonged heat event starting right about now and ending who knows when.

[Mattman]

Its happening. A week out, its locked in. I'm guessing it'll get slightly watered down as it comes closer but there will be a prolonged heat event starting right about now and ending who knows when.

Agreed. The heatwave is a lock at this point. But to your point, PortKells, I think EC was too bullish on sun mid-week..

[Coquitlam79]

Its happening. A week out, its locked in. I'm guessing it'll get slightly watered down as it comes closer but there will be a prolonged heat event starting right about now and ending who knows when.

For now it looks like a 2 day wonder then mid week marine push. After that the ridge rebuilding for 4 days or so of heat..cool down mid next week but that can change. The models often are one day too early with the cool down after a heatwave. This looks more like 2017 with the heat and dryness starting mid to late June (and continuing for much of the summer) after adequate rain in late May and June. It's not really comparable to 2015 as that year was a drought and saw a much drier late Spring compared to this year and there were already major water restrictions and fire issues (Elaho fire causing lots of smoke for LM) around this time in 2015. The fire issues could manifest like 2017 if the pattern remains similar to that year and that's obviously a big concern. I guarantee the forest service is worried, the next 2 or 3 weeks is critical for precip in the interior.

[AbbyJr]

Its happening. A week out, its locked in. I'm guessing it'll get slightly watered down as it comes closer but there will be a prolonged heat event starting right about now and ending who knows when.

Yup. There looks to be some brief cool downs here and there but the models seem to have locked in summer for the foreseeable future. Let's all hope we don't end up with a bad forest fire season.

[AbbyJr]

From the Weather Network:

A hot and dry summer is expected across the southern and central Interior of the province, and a very warm and dry summer is expected for the southern and central coast, including Vancouver and Victoria. Northern parts of B.C. will also see above-normal temperatures, but near normal rainfall is expected.

An abundance of warm or hot sunny days will be ideal for those who are looking forward to spending time on or by the water. However, the combination of above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall will bring a heightened risk for wildfires and poor air quality, especially during the second half of the season.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

32.2c in south Sardis, my peak wind gust was out of the NE @ 38kmh early this evening. Enjoyed your peek into the future C79 as well as some past historical notrs good read.
Nice to have John chime in stay safe in the heat John.

[PortKells]

For now it looks like a 2 day wonder then mid week marine push. After that the ridge rebuilding for 4 days or so of heat..cool down mid next week but that can change. The models often are one day too early with the cool down after a heatwave. This looks more like 2017 with the heat and dryness starting mid to late June (and continuing for much of the summer) after adequate rain in late May and June. It's not really comparable to 2015 as that year was a drought and saw a much drier late Spring compared to this year and there were already major water restrictions and fire issues (Elaho fire causing lots of smoke for LM) around this time in 2015. The fire issues could manifest like 2017 if the pattern remains similar to that year and that's obviously a big concern. I guarantee the forest service is worried, the next 2 or 3 weeks is critical for precip in the interior.

If I remember correctly 2017 actually started out fairly promising with some nice reasonable 22-25C weather. But the interior was obviously quite a bit warmer. Then we had a shot of stronger heat followed by dry lightning and Bam, state of emergency for 2-ish months. I want them to get ahead of this and ban campfires now but I know that won't happen. The public is in no mood to follow restrictions of any kind after the last 1.5 years.

In fact I think backcountry camping should be kicked to the curb until fall. People have shown they can't be trusted. And it only takes one to burn down all kinds of structures and ruin people's lives. We already know there will be lightning strikes at some point that firefighters will have to respond to.

This is our new reality, time to actually live in it.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

If I remember correctly 2017 actually started out fairly promising with some nice reasonable 22-25C weather. But the interior was obviously quite a bit warmer. Then we had a shot of stronger heat followed by dry lightning and Bam, state of emergency for 2-ish months. I want them to get ahead of this and ban campfires now but I know that won't happen. The public is in no mood to follow restrictions of any kind after the last 1.5 years.

In fact I think backcountry camping should be kicked to the curb until fall. People have shown they can't be trusted. And it only takes one to burn down all kinds of structures and ruin people's lives. We already know there will be lightning strikes at some point that firefighters will have to respond to.

This is our new reality, time to actually live in it.

Agreed with your points Mr. Kells well said only problem is saying it is easy actually doing it well...and as you point out people don't have an appetite for restrictions after the last year and a half. On that note reached a toasty high of 32.9c in south Sardis.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

26ËšC after a max of 27ËšC here.

[AbbyJr]

32.2c in south Sardis, my peak wind gust was out of the NE @ 38kmh early this evening. Enjoyed your peek into the future C79 as well as some past historical notrs good read.
Nice to have John chime in stay safe in the heat John.

31C here today.

[PortKells]

Slightly less extreme with a more obvious cooldown.

ens_image (17).png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Ominous.

https://twitter.com/annecweather/status ... 7893492737