November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Weather101]

https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 18438?s=21

[Weather101]

https://twitter.com/macgeek30/status/14 ... 31553?s=21

[Roberts Creeker]

Currently -1.8°C in the Central Cariboo, light snow gradually easing off with 2cm accumulated

3.0 here and drizzle. A couple of mm accumulation overnight.

[AbbyJr]

This is not good news. Let's all hope it does not verify.

gem-all-vancouverski-precip_48hr_inch-7917200.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Just some sprinkles in central Lonsdale.

[Antares]

-6C here at noon with cloudy skies. Mountains to the west disappearing so the snow isn't far.

Had a -10.5C low yesterday, first of the winter below -10

[Michael1]

Feeling less and less confident about December. Once that Alaska vortex takes hold it takes forever to knock it off.

I think that conventional wisdom makes us look at analogous situations, however, because of the increasingly volatile climate, we could get -10 at sea level one week and plus 15 the next, along the coast.

[PortKells]

This is why I haven’t jumped on any bandwagon. You never know with our winters.

I think an active fall is a key ingredient but by no mEans the only one. So far the arctic is staying reasonably cold which is actually a really good thing but it stops us from getting anything note worthy early on.

Having said that, the gfs ensemble was somewhat interesting after hour 300. Maybe a chilly period with heavy mountain snow.

[Hound]

Hounder we were just talking about that O'Connor/crane location and then Wednesday there's a major fire there weird hey anyone hear the cause?

Ya, isn't that crazy! Have not heard the cause. Probably insurance scam.

[HughCorne]

Any chance I might see some snow at my elevation today?

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Ya, isn't that crazy! Have not heard the cause. Probably insurance scam.

My guess was an electrical fault in one of the RV’s (they all do have storage batteries), triggered by the flooding.

[Monty]

I’ve been feeling a pretty zonal may be the cards overall. But I do think we tap into some arctic air at least a couple times. Mid to late December and mid to late January. My winter forecasts have been awful lately so take it with a grain of salt.

[Catnip]

This is not good news. Let's all hope it does not verify.

gem-all-vancouverski-precip_48hr_inch-7917200.png

Hopefully just the GEM doing it's thing.

[Hound]

https://twitter.com/Baneet_Braich/statu ... 2948976642

[AbbyJr]

Hopefully just the GEM doing it's thing.

Yup. It would bad news for the flooding situation if that run were to verify.