November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Already grasping at straws here but this is the run to run change in the GEM ensemble. Will keep an eye on the EPS coming out and hope for good things. That being cold preferably but also dry. I could live with cold drizzle or a foggy inversion pattern too.
cmc-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_dprog-8792000 (1).png
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PortKells
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

GFS ensemble ain't terrible either.

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-8813600.png
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Nov 20, 2021 9:51 pm Appears absolutely nothing but name only, easy to set up wifi as well.
I think ambient has an app. so you can see your readings when your away.
But there's a work around to do the same with Ecowitt that was easy, l got Ecowitt because of the 3 piece unit l don't think ambient has a 3 piece unit,
The display is awesome.
Thanks.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Nov 20, 2021 8:35 pm Kudos to all those members keeping there ears and eyes open to want theyVe seen or heard helps us all as we swim :sard: through this event.
Went out tonight to get a couple of things at the grocery store, they're pretty well stocked, about as well as they have been in the past 18 months. The malls were insane earlier so I decided to go to the beach instead and went back tonight to the grocery stores at 8 pm, only a couple of people in each one but no mushrooms at either store. :( Gas stations had no line ups either.

This pic is from Davis Bay a couple of days ago. The sky was incredible so I stopped to take a picture. Went to Secret Beach today, should be called not-so-secret beach with a big sign like that. :lol: :lol:
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Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Nov 20, 2021 11:16 pm 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png
Looks like a period of cold drizzle and big mountain snow is emerging in the L R. Very unfortunate that we get an atmospheric river pattern first, starting the snowpack from scratch again, not to mention flooding concerns.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

PortKells wrote: Sat Nov 20, 2021 11:10 pm Already grasping at straws here but this is the run to run change in the GEM ensemble. Will keep an eye on the EPS coming out and hope for good things. That being cold preferably but also dry. I could live with cold drizzle or a foggy inversion pattern too.

cmc-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_dprog-8792000 (1).png
I love fog and the way the trees fade away into it.
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Yay. Christmas eye candy.
gfs-ensemble-extended-all-c00-namer-t850_anom-0390400.png
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The European authorities have spoken. Cool northwest flow with potential for fringe snowfalls, especially in pomo-land.


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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Sat Nov 20, 2021 11:29 pm Looks like a period of cold drizzle and big mountain snow is emerging in the L R. Very unfortunate that we get an atmospheric river pattern first, starting the snowpack from scratch again, not to mention flooding concerns.
Surprisingly we didn't lose all the snowpack above 800m with the last AR. It was cut in half though.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Nov 20, 2021 11:57 pm Surprisingly we didn't lose all the snowpack above 800m with the last AR. It was cut in half though.
I mean I looked at the Sasquatch and cypress webcams at the top of the mountain and the snow left was incredibly sad looking. I just hope we can be done with this stupid AR pattern after November ends and get going with our mountains and focusing on potential fun stuff.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Sat Nov 20, 2021 11:31 pm I love fog and the way the trees fade away into it.
Fog is like a consolation prize, eh? It's cool but ..not that cool. The view on the highway 15 on ramp to highway 1 has incredible views of maple ridge when it's foggy.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

4.2c and drizzling
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Sun Nov 21, 2021 12:09 am 4.2c and drizzling
The drizzle is real tonight. Feels like winter.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Sat Nov 20, 2021 11:29 pm Went out tonight to get a couple of things at the grocery store, they're pretty well stocked, about as well as they have been in the past 18 months. The malls were insane earlier so I decided to go to the beach instead and went back tonight to the grocery stores at 8 pm, only a couple of people in each one but no mushrooms at either store. :( Gas stations had no line ups either.

This pic is from Davis Bay a couple of days ago. The sky was incredible so I stopped to take a picture. Went to Secret Beach today, should be called not-so-secret beach with a big sign like that. :lol: :lol:
Absolutely outstanding shots Ms. Creeksahoy, thought you'd be glued to the W network.
Did you see the Hallmark Christmas movie filmed in Gibsons 2 years ago?
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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