November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

That's the tricky thing with La Nina. The absence of any WPAC blocking usually leads to a persistent GOA vortex in the early portion of the climatological winters.

GFS now have persistent rain for Howe Sound from Saturday evening right through Thursday morning (6 hour lull Monday night). That is a near 5 day AR. 12+ inches of rain, probably higher in some areas.

Residents in Squamish and Pemberton should be getting prepared.
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Monty
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Ugly wet!
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North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:thumbdown: :thumbdown: :thumbdown:
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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wetcoast91
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Wed Nov 24, 2021 8:54 am Ugly wet!
There was already concerns along #4 near Kennedy Lake and Walley Creek. Not sure what 10+ inches of rain will do but we will find out soon I guess....
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

2021112400_054@007_E1_yxx_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_tt@surf@nt@pr@ws@surf_360.png
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Only 10 Atmospheric Rivers Away!!!!!

:roll: :roll: :roll: :roll: :roll: :roll:
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:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

#wet
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:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 24, 2021 9:11 am Only 10 Atmospheric Rivers Away!!!!!

:roll: :roll: :roll: :roll: :roll: :roll:

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_56.png
Just once, can we atmospheric river into an arctic air mass?
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Wed Nov 24, 2021 9:22 am Just once, can we atmospheric river into an arctic air mass?
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Nov 24, 2021 9:29 am Image
Ain't that the truth :crazy:
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Nov 24, 2021 9:29 am Image
I want a second opinion!!
let-me-call-a-buddy-of-mine.jpg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

GEM shows a good soaking this weekend.

:thumbdown:
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

VanCitySouth wrote: Wed Nov 24, 2021 9:22 am Just once, can we atmospheric river into an arctic air mass?
Happened in December 1996.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 24, 2021 9:19 am #wet

1.png
LOL, really classy how the positive anomalies start right at the Columbia River. I can already hear the usual whining on the AF from the usual suspects in Oregon.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

We are so fricking screwed :lol:
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