January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[tyweather]

Recent LR modeling now less bullish on a cold early Feb. Things could still flip on a dime but less of a signal.

This is somehow turning up to be an absolutely brutal winter for the East. Almost as bad as the 2015 Feb cold wave.

Crappy skiing coming up. Get a dry day on corn snow is the best one will get for the next 16 days at least.

[wetcoast91]

Crappy skiing coming up. Get a dry day on corn snow is the best one will get for the next 16 days at least.

You know the skiing weather will improve by late Feb into March. At least we are on the "dry side" of the ridge for some stunningly clear days up there.

[Typeing3]

In terms of the intensity of the cold, and temp anomalies...It's getting bad there. Remains to be seen how long this lasts.

Looks more January 2014ish than 2015 imo.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

You know the skiing weather will improve by late Feb into March. At least we are on the "dry side" of the ridge for some stunningly clear days up there.

Such a nice ridge. Alas, . I’ll believe it when I see it.

[Typeing3]

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[wetcoast91]

https://mobile.twitter.com/ensembleator ... 8184813568

https://mobile.twitter.com/ensembleator ... 8492496896

This is a forecast bust we can all be happy to see.

AR moisture plume never really penetrated far inland and the moisture plume seems to be lifting north as we speak. Incredible precip rates on Van Island below 1800m though. Discharge levels across many streams are still well below projected totals.

[Hawk]

Dodged a bullet. AR precip hasn't been as intense in the alpine aside from the North Shore. Worst impacts of the AR has been to the Central and Northern Van Island and Central Coast.



Squamish River is running high but Squamish and the Province learned their lesson after the 2003 floods. Some 50 mil to upgrade dykes and add erosion breakers to the river and creeks. It's money well spent to prevent billions of dollars in losses.

C'mon with the dramatics people until the event unfolds? AR days out...pffft. #ModelFail kinda..right Nito?

[Hawk]

Such a nice ridge. Alas, . I’ll believe it when I see it.

ONLY 10 DAYS AWAY!!

[Forrest Gump]

On a personal note, I'm done with it all. I want warm, dry and sunshine. Give me the southwest states!

If last 3 years is any indication you'll get your 5-6 month dry and sunny stretch soon enough, maybe even as early as late March. So we gotta pay our dues for another 2 1/2 months.

[wetcoast91]

If last 3 years is any indication you'll get your 5-6 month dry and sunny stretch soon enough, maybe even as early as late March. So we gotta pay our dues for another 2 1/2 months.

"I want dry and warm weather!"

Mother Nature: Okay, here's 3 months of no rain and some +40C days mixed in there.

[Antares]

3C and light rain most of the day here. Yuck!

CFS continues to show a major Arctic blast around Feb 1 though.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

"I want dry and warm weather!"

Mother Nature: Okay, here's 3 months of no rain and some +40C days mixed in there.

Depending on where he moves to in the US Southwest, he can get more than just a few 40°C days.

He should probably avoid Flagstaff, Santa Fe, Taos, and other higher-elevation towns. They are frequently quite cold in the winter.

[Forrest Gump]

"I want dry and warm weather!"

Mother Nature: Okay, here's 3 months of no rain and some +40C days mixed in there.

Nope , 30° max this year , 35° for the valley.

[Hound]

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[VanCitySouth]

https://twitter.com/Kylem87/status/1481396079182548992

LOL what kind of lunatic golfs in this weather?! I love golf but man this is a stretch.