October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22657
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 60004 times
Been thanked: 19783 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 12:35 pm I don’t, what do you mean?
Sink John as in kitchen or bathroom sink. :D
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
Top
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:11 pm Looks like a lot of phantom snow... Euro resolution issues have carried over from last winter.
Yup. Temps are pretty marginal. Looks like a count the wet flakes on the higher hills type setup... for now.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Top
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

New station has been ordered.


51fSHzJV5dL._AC_SL1000_.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6738
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15611 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:11 pm Looks like a lot of phantom snow... Euro resolution issues have carried over from last winter.
Apparently the next GFS upgrade scheduled for November is supposed to address this issue. We’ll see though.


:dunno:
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6738
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15611 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 2:31 pm yxx.png

yxx snow.png
That’s some pretty good consensus on the EPS. Wow.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6738
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15611 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:33 pm Yup. Temps are pretty marginal. Looks like a count the wet flakes on the higher hills type setup... for now.
Probably kind of like a couple of events last season that depended a lot on precip rates and dynamic cooling. Hard to predict.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6738
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15611 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z Euro view of the whole south coast. :shock:
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6343
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4874 times
Been thanked: 12958 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 12:06 pm 96E2F1BC-2413-4E26-9948-868D379318BC.png
I’m in the pepto zone on that map. Yes, please!
It's called clown range for a reason.
Top
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Speaking of the GFS upgrade, here is Day 10 for comparison sakes.

GFS 16.2
16.2.png
GFS 16.3
16.3.png
Euro
Euro.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Top
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3922
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4164 times
Been thanked: 8316 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:52 pm Speaking of the GFS upgrade, here is Day 10 for comparison sakes.

GFS 16.2
16.2.png
GFS 16.3
16.3.png

Euro
Euro.png
Looks like we're pretty close but it needs juuuuuuuust a bit less digging.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
Top
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 4135
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 23678 times
Been thanked: 8022 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:11 pm Looks like a lot of phantom snow... Euro resolution issues have carried over from last winter.
Phantom snow, perfect for Halloween :lol: :lol: but let's not have it anywhere else :lol: :lol:
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
Top
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 4135
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 23678 times
Been thanked: 8022 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:37 pm New station has been ordered.

:congrats: :bravo:

Nice!!! :clap: :clap:
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
Top
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 4135
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 23678 times
Been thanked: 8022 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:48 pm 12Z Euro view of the whole south coast. :shock:
Yes!!!! I'm in the 37.2 cm range!!! (I hope it's not rain, that would be more than ample :crazy: )
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
Top
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14198
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26799 times
Been thanked: 28394 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:48 pm 12Z Euro view of the whole south coast. :shock:
Relatively low snow levels (>800m) at the very least seem to be a lock for a few days. North shore mountains will really start building the winter snowpack.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14198
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26799 times
Been thanked: 28394 times

Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Lowest temps of the season (potential freeze too) possible on Wednesday and Thursday. Will depend on cloud cover.

18z GFS -- Wednesday morning temps
gfs_T2m_nwus_16.png

18z GFS -- Thursday morning temps
gfs_T2m_nwus_20.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Southern British Columbia - Weather Discussions”