January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 11:20 am Ummmm Dec 15-30 2008 vs Feb 1-15. Higher sun angles and longer days will kill many of the benefits of those shorter days of Dec 2008. There will lots and lots of melting and sloppy, slushy events im sure.We will be in mid Feb at the end of these runs..pretty much time to move on from the snow. Tell em Nitro!! :lol: :lol:
Massively overstated. Feb 2017 and 2019 there was no daytime melting when it was cold.
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Hawk
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

PortKells wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 11:24 am Massively overstated. Feb 2017 and 2019 there was no daytime melting when it was cold.
yes, it CAN stay cold for 2 weeks in Feb, but we are racing against time, and time will always win 100%. I highly doubt we don't moderate at some point in the next 14, with daytime temps commonly in the +single digits, assuming the current models and temp profiles. Its easy to check on this. Lets check back on Feb 15! :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Weather101
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 11:24 am Massively overstated. Feb 2017 and 2019 there was no daytime melting when it was cold.
I remember in 2019 there was no melt whatsoever in Richmond, and it was cold, even with the higher sun angles.

I'm not sure why a certain few people always troll before a big event to bring down the mood, yet days prior they are screaming how great this will be. So confused.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Hawk wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 11:28 am yes, it CAN stay cold for 2 weeks in Feb, but we are racing against time, and time will always win 100%. I highly doubt we don't moderate at some point in the next 14, with daytime temps commonly in the +single digits, assuming the current models and temp profiles. Its easy to check on this. Lets check back on Feb 15! :thumbup:
We will be fine. Let's focus on February 1st to 7th with snow and cold before we worry about two weeks in advance. As we always say, "the clown range will clown." I have zero worries next week about higher sun angles melting snow.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

NAM 3km Saturday and Sunday snow.
nam-nest-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8454400.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

It could reach double digits this afternoon once the S/SW winds break!

:dance:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Hawk wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 5:01 am not this time John
= :flakey: :flakey:
You were literally saying this 5 hours ago lol now it won't work cause of higher sun angles?

Stop trolling :thumbup:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 11:34 am It could reach double digits this afternoon once the S/SW winds break!

:dance:
Pineapple bath?
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 11:34 am It could reach double digits this afternoon once the S/SW winds break!

:dance:
Soak it in, just like that unclean snow
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 11:28 am yes, it CAN stay cold for 2 weeks in Feb, but we are racing against time, and time will always win 100%. I highly doubt we don't moderate at some point in the next 14, with daytime temps commonly in the +single digits, assuming the current models and temp profiles. Its easy to check on this. Lets check back on Feb 15! :thumbup:
Let’s just enjoy this 🥳
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Radar »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 11:34 am NAM 3km Saturday and Sunday snow.

nam-nest-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8454400.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
NAM giving us a bust?
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

stuffradio wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 11:08 am When I do get the site transferred to something better, I will re-enable the embedding tags haha.
Can you increase the attachment size limit as well?
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Radar wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 12:01 pm NAM giving us a bust?
No, NAM hasn't gotten to the time frame of the bigger snowfall Sun PM into Mon AM. Stop sowing discord and panic.
Nito we allow because it's a bit and he actually offers useful educated input.
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Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The nam is garbage. Shows a spot of rain where 925s are -6 and surface is -1.
Last edited by PortKells on Fri Jan 31, 2025 12:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Radar »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 12:08 pm No, NAM hasn't gotten to the time frame of the bigger snowfall Sun PM into Mon AM. Stop sowing discord and panic.
Nito we allow because it's a bit and he actually offers useful educated input.
The two maps posted show very little snow until Sunday night. So that's a bust if that comes true.
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