February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (21).png

12z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (22).png

12z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (23).png

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[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Better savour those single-digit max temps, cold lovers, because you’re not going to be seeing them for several days.

Abbotsford 8.2°C
Agassiz 9.4°C
Burns Bog 8.5°C
Hope 9.4°C
Langley 8.4°C
MBY 9.2˚C
Pitt Meadows 7.9°C
Squamish 8.7°C
Vancouver Harbour 7.4°C
Vancouver YVR 8.4°C
West Vancouver 8.2°C
White Rock 9.0°C

[PortKells]

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (21).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (22).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (23).png




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We're running out of real estate here. Snowless winter

[wetcoast91]

We're running out of real estate here. Snowless winter

Yeah the models keep watering down the troughs. Either showing cut-off troughing or some sort of cool split flow. Not the huge Mountain snowmaker we need. I still think conditions will get favorable for lowland slush in early-mid March.

My parents are under nearly 150cm of snow in Ontario and there are now 2 more snowfalls showing up within 8 days. They could break 200cm. When will it melt? May?

[Hawk]

06z gfs is out and it shows no snow to Feb 19
#theendisnearbuttees

[Hawk]

EC has the Similks at H 7-9c for the next 7 days. Complete sadness

[Hawk]

..and EC has Abby at H 13-16c over the next 4 days under mostly sunny skies
#feelinglikeApril

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Morning minima.

Abbotsford 4.9°C
Agassiz 6.4°C
Burns Bog 7.1°C
Hope 5.9°C
Langley 3.7°C
MBY 8.1˚C
Pitt Meadows 5.6°C
Squamish 5.1°C
Vancouver Harbour 8.0°C
Vancouver YVR 7.6°C
West Vancouver 7.8°C
White Rock 7.8°C

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

06z gfs is out and it shows no snow to Feb 19
#theendisnearbuttees

If there has been no snow by the 23rd and there is none in the models before the end of the month, it will be time to officially stick a fork in this so-called “winter.”

[Hawk]

We will essentially have a never ending Autumn that lasted about 7-8 months, from Oct-April, with snow levels sitting between 3000-6000 ft almost the entire time, minus the odd drop to 1k-2k.

Check the sig

[stuffradio]

There's always Winter 2026-2027.

[wetcoast91]

There's always Winter 2026-2027.

We are probably in a multi-year cycle similar to 2014-2016. Maybe 2027-28?

[AbbyJr]

For entertainment purposes only

The 12Z Euro has a decent NW flow snowfall in the clown range. No real arctic air but just a very cold polar low with an offshore North Pacific block. Looks like a surface low develops and spreads moisture over a modified arctic airmass. The timing is picture perfect as most of the moisture comes in through the evening and overnight hours, which helps maximize the cold. A very dynamic setup that was much more common here in the past.

While this solution is unlikely to verify, both the EPS and AIFS show a cold onshore flow. Unfortunately, it's a complex setup and 300hrs+ out.

348hrecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-1372800.png

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1243200.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1243200.png

[Weather101]

For entertainment purposes only

The 12Z Euro has a decent NW flow snowfall in the clown range. No real arctic air but just a very cold polar low with an offshore North Pacific block. Looks like a surface low develops and spreads moisture over a modified arctic airmass. The timing is picture perfect as most of the moisture comes in through the evening and overnight hours, which helps maximize the cold. A very dynamic setup that was much more common here in the past.

While this solution is unlikely to verify, both the EPS and AIFS show a cold onshore flow. Unfortunately, it's a complex setup and 300hrs+ out.


348hrecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-1372800.png

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1243200.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1243200.png

I always hated snow at night and rain by morning lol

[AbbyJr]

I always hated snow at night and rain by morning lol

Of course I'd rather have daytime snowfall but evening and overnight snow is better than nothing.