February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14196
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26789 times
Been thanked: 28392 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Looks like the "arctic" air has reached most of the Lower Mainland as outflow has picked up in the eastern suburbs/valley and dewpoints dropping to -10c at YXX.

May see some mins in the -6c/-7c range in some spots depending on clearing/winds tonight and tomorrow night. -3c to -5c for most.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7098
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16337 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Looks like another cold snap coming for Florida. Subzero temps in late Feb is really noteworthy down there.

Image
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22648
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 59987 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 18, 2026 1:20 pm Looks like the "arctic" air has reached most of the Lower Mainland as outflow has picked up in the eastern suburbs/valley and dewpoints dropping to -10c at YXX.

May see some mins in the -6c/-7c range in some spots depending on clearing/winds tonight and tomorrow night. -3c to -5c for most.
Very weak push Tman Hope is plus 3c Lytton is -4c minus dewpoints for the win. :x
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22648
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 59987 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: Wed Feb 18, 2026 7:59 am Cool man good choice!
Thanks John close enough to Chilliwack for needed supplies but Agassiz if need be. And far enough from the lake to avoid the summer invasion of humans as well. :lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6603
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 12854 times
Been thanked: 12300 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Feb 18, 2026 9:22 am Early indications suggest a continuation of a -QBO next winter. Could lead to another +TNH...cold East is a lock. We usually have a window in November in a +ENSO phase but you can bet the house DJF is a lost cause next year.
I'd much prefer a -QBO if we are moving into a +ENSO phase as -QBO's tend to increase the odds of a SSW. During El Niño, a SSW event is almost a necessity to disrupt the typical mild pattern and potentially send arctic air into SWBC/PNW regions. When looking back at the analogs, the majority of El Niño's that performed were -QBO with a SSW. A few examples: 1965/66, 1968/69, 2009/10, and 2023/24. While exceptions are always possible and the strength of the ENSO is certainly a major factor, a -QBO is ideal during El Niño if you want at least a chance of a winter miracle here. :silent: :wave:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7725
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13670 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Obviously just more bogus GFS stuff but it would be funny to get this snow event that turns off the taps right as March arrives, just to troll Rubes and his no-March-snow thing.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2366400.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22648
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 59987 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Wed Feb 18, 2026 2:52 pm Obviously just more bogus GFS stuff but it would be funny to get this snow event that turns off the taps right as March arrives, just to troll Rubes and his no-March-snow thing.

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2366400.png
Certainly not out of the question Kells. :wtf: :lol: l've seen it b4.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8625
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17144 times
Been thanked: 8324 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

saw some vids online of the flakage this morning in DT Vanc. Deeeecent flurry..nice to look at, and nothing to shovel or bea pedestrian and get rammed by a vehicle with all-seasons on :shock: :shock:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14196
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26789 times
Been thanked: 28392 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

HarrisonSasquatchWx wrote: Wed Feb 18, 2026 2:57 pm Certainly not out of the question Kells. :wtf: :lol: l've seen it b4.
March snowfall for Rubus! :wave:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22648
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 59987 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 18, 2026 3:43 pm March snowfall for Rubus! :wave:
Perhaps yes for all of us. Tfold. :o
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8625
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17144 times
Been thanked: 8324 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

PortKells wrote: Wed Feb 18, 2026 2:52 pm Obviously just more bogus GFS stuff but it would be funny to get this snow event that turns off the taps right as March arrives, just to troll Rubes and his no-March-snow thing.

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2366400.png
Ummm King GFS = The threat is real :shock: :shock:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22648
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 59987 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

We don't even get afew hours of a overrunning event anymore pathetic man. :sick:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
Weather101
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5645
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:27 am
Location: Richmond
Elevation: 3 Ft
Has thanked: 5273 times
Been thanked: 7885 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Thunderstorm of freezing rain? First I've heard.

Toronto is having a winter, my god.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8625
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17144 times
Been thanked: 8324 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

i was hoping for some better results the last 24 hours or so. It didnt turn out so well, in The Year without a Winter :thumbdown:
Tell us again Typing!! :lol: :lol:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4824
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 30783 times
Been thanked: 10431 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

PortKells wrote: Wed Feb 18, 2026 10:53 am Definitely a disappointment of an event in a disappointment of a winter. I'll keep my eye on March but certainly not going to expect anything.
It's so damn pathetic! When cities hundreds or thousands of miles south of us get a better winter, we know we are cursed and it's time to bomb the ocean or a volcano to erupt so we can cool down. The west coast is a joke.
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
Post Reply