November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Canada Goose
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Nov 29, 2022 6:58 pm We measured 9 cm about 20 mins ago. With the heaviest stuff coming 25 cm is more than within reach.
I hope, but I'll believe it when I see it. I'd be happy with 15 cm.
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Weather101
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Roberts Creeker wrote: ↑Tue Nov 29, 2022 7:03 pm :( feeling left out :cry: :cry:

Still windy here and small flakes falling. about 2" accumulation +0.5 dp -1
Move 》》》》
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Nov 29, 2022 6:51 pm I'm trying to figure out where the Tsunami would even come from if the earthquake was in Alberta?

Unless I'm missing something...

:think:
land waves...

idk I wondered too.
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Weather101 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 29, 2022 7:04 pm Move 》》》》
Might have to. I wonder if they take sheep at SFU? :lol: :lol:
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

0.2 km visibility in heavy snow at YVR :wtf:

Bono everything okay out there?
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Cloverdale »

Measured 4” on the grass.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

:shock:
Omg
Will be going for a walk after dinner
Hopefully still getting nuked by then

Is this being nuked ?
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Burnaby Mountain @ 365 m..

Stats? Fresh out of those. But I win anyway. I got all the inches.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Snow on the ground at 7 pm:

24 cm in Port Alberni
21 cm in Port Mellon
11 cm in Squamish
8 cm in Pitt Meadows
6 cm in North Cowichan
4 cm in West Vancouver
3 cm in White Rock
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Saving this screenshot.
Screenshot_20221129-191352.jpg
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2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Nordelian »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Tue Nov 29, 2022 5:53 pm Last night ECMWF and HRRR were both predicting that coastal Whatcom County would have a relatively prompt and early transition to above-freezing conditions. Looks like those models nailed it.

Both models also showed most of the Lower Mainland holding out as snow until some time between midnight and 10:00 AM.

At this stage, it is quite clear that the snowier Goofus scenario is not going to materialize.
Models have nailed this event. There have been no surprises.

I wouldn't say the GFS was wrong, it just has coarser resolution so it smooths out high amounts to more areas. You just have to know how to read models to know to rely on high resolution models within 24 hours
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Tue Nov 29, 2022 6:46 pm Still thinking we're gonna have 15 cm? :problem:
What time is the snow supposed to stop?
I might. I’m certainly not getting 20 or 30 cm, though. I think we’re good until at least midnight, based on what the models were saying. I am expecting it to be cold rain by dawn.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

:flakey: :flakey: :flakey:
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Tue Nov 29, 2022 7:11 pm Snow on the ground at 7 pm:

24 cm in Port Alberni
21 cm in Port Mellon
11 cm in Squamish
8 cm in Pitt Meadows
6 cm in North Cowichan
4 cm in West Vancouver
3 cm in White Rock
Okay, children: What is wrong with this picture?
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Nordelian wrote: ↑Tue Nov 29, 2022 7:20 pm Models have nailed this event. There have been no surprises.

I wouldn't say the GFS was wrong, it just has coarser resolution so it smooths out high amounts to more areas. You just have to know how to read models to know to rely on high resolution models within 24 hours
And how to check the “snow” maps against temperatures and dew points to weed out all the phantom snow.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Nordelian wrote: ↑Tue Nov 29, 2022 7:20 pm Models have nailed this event. There have been no surprises.

I wouldn't say the GFS was wrong, it just has coarser resolution so it smooths out high amounts to more areas. You just have to know how to read models to know to rely on high resolution models within 24 hours
"Hey Nito!"
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