December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22657
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 60005 times
Been thanked: 19784 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:42 am:arrow:
:wave: :trailer: Right thing to do right El Neeters. :flakey:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:42 am:arrow:
Yes naturally most of it will go :arrow: , that just how it works out in most cases.

Hopefully we can at least get clipped with some :anus: winds though!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22657
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 60005 times
Been thanked: 19784 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:49 am Yes naturally most of it will go :arrow: , that just how it works out in most cases.

Hopefully we can at least get clipped with some :anus: winds though!
:fart2: That works Catnackers.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:shock: :think:

Screenshot 2023-12-28 at 11-30-15 BCStorms Weather Forums - Search.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13671 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:40 am 12Z GEFS

:silent:

:think:
height.png
temp.png
Not bad but missing tilt. We’ll definitely take it for high elevation snowpack provided there’s precipitation.
User avatar
Weather101
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5647
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:27 am
Location: Richmond
Elevation: 3 Ft
Has thanked: 5273 times
Been thanked: 7887 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

tyweather wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 8:48 am Because we wasted our money on a seasons pass this year.
Fair enough.
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
User avatar
Weather101
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5647
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:27 am
Location: Richmond
Elevation: 3 Ft
Has thanked: 5273 times
Been thanked: 7887 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:41 am The thing that worries me a bit is there really isn’t a source of real cold air during the first half of January. So, even if we get a trough setup over the west coast, I don’t think we’ll see impressive cold.

With that said, we don’t need impressive cold to get snow. Some offshore flow with continental influence will do the trick, so I do think we’ll see some flakes.

While all this is happening, I think the cold pool really builds up over Northern Canada. The best dynamics however will probably favour eastern Canada by then. Hopefully, we can get some back door action or a glancing below before it shifts east.

My two cents.
100 percent agree
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6605
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 12858 times
Been thanked: 12306 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:41 am The thing that worries me a bit is there really isn’t a source of real cold air during the first half of January. So, even if we get a trough setup over the west coast, I don’t think we’ll see impressive cold.

With that said, we don’t need impressive cold to get snow. Some offshore flow with continental influence will do the trick, so I do think we’ll see some flakes.

While all this is happening, I think the cold pool really builds up over Northern Canada. The best dynamics however will probably favour eastern Canada by then. Hopefully, we can get some back door action or a glancing below before it shifts east.

My two cents.
Agreed. But if we can somehow manage to get a major SSW with a polar vortex split, then we may be able to tap into some colder arctic air.
But models have significantly backed off on that solution. However, a minor SSW is still likely meaning we will have a weak polar vortex throughout January. Unfortunately, that likely won't be enough to fully reverse the dominate El Niño pattern. But some cold and snow is still possible.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7098
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16338 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

I just want a dry :anus: so we can actually dry out. It has been damp for 2 months here.

Would be nice to do a January mow without the grass sticking to everything. :thumbup:
User avatar
tyweather
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1869
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:39 pm
Location: Newton, Surrey, EL. 70m
Has thanked: 84 times
Been thanked: 4244 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:21 am Hopefully the potential upcoming cool down brings with it some mountain snows.

I believe Cypress also has a decent snow making setup?
84 snow guns
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

A week or two of some below normal temps in January during this El Torcho should be applauded at this point. Of course anything more would be great, but gotta keep expectations in check.

The mountains really need some snow but this looks like it may be a dry potential cool down.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8630
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17152 times
Been thanked: 8328 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Dec 27, 2023 11:45 pm 12c at midnight at the end of December... average high for this time of year is 5c. :lol:
:lol: :lol: and :roll:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Some low snow levels next weekend on the 18Z.
1.png
2.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6738
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15611 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 2:48 pm Some low snow levels next weekend on the 18Z.

1.png
2.png
Yeah, not too bad.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Storm
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7094
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:09 pm
Location: North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Has thanked: 2493 times
Been thanked: 12532 times

Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Dear leader, gets all the cold. Those North Korean weenies are stoked about that.
gfs_T2m_ea_65.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
Post Reply