August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

looks to be rather unstable in Southern BC today..especially over the mountains
:lightning: :lightning:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

PortKells wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 7:52 am Years with significant smoke waves:

2015, 17, 18, 20, 22, 23, 24. 7 years of the last 10.
lol We haven’t had any smoke this year unless you count a little bit we had yesterday and last year wasn’t very smoky either the three before that on the other hand, we’re very smoky
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

PortKells wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 7:52 am Years with significant smoke waves:

2015, 17, 18, 20, 22, 23, 24. 7 years of the last 10.
Are you talking about significant smoke waves in your back yard or just in general? This year hasn't been as bad yet *knocks on wood*
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Aug 07, 2024 3:46 pm Now the Euro is showing dew points around 23C in the Fraser Valley for Thursday night. Remains to be seen if it verifies. But if it does then... :sick:


Maps valid for 7:00PM PDT:


xx_model-en-196-0_modez_2024080712_38_17460_1.png

xx_model-en-196-0_modez_2024080712_38_17460_53.png
My dew point was 18-19C at that time. It was a muggy evening but the model overdid it.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2025/26
Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

stuffradio wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 8:46 am Are you talking about significant smoke waves in your back yard or just in general? This year hasn't been as bad yet *knocks on wood*
In relation to pre-2015 this would be considered significant. Of course since then we've had years where we can barely breathe for two weeks which makes this seem tame, but there is clearly and visibly smoke at the upper levels which prior to 2015 was highly rare. Luckily it has not reached the lower levels and hopefully it stays that way.
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 8:04 am looks to be rather unstable in Southern BC today..especially over the mountains
:lightning: :lightning:
Dry lightning I'm assuming? :alert:
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

PortKells wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 9:51 am In relation to pre-2015 this would be considered significant. Of course since then we've had years where we can barely breathe for two weeks which makes this seem tame, but there is clearly and visibly smoke at the upper levels which prior to 2015 was highly rare. Luckily it has not reached the lower levels and hopefully it stays that way.
I agree with you.
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Who wants a 100mm storm? :)
2024080900_054@007_E1_yxx_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_tt@surf@nt@pr@ws@surf_360.png
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

stuffradio wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 11:23 am Who wants a 100mm storm? :)

2024080900_054@007_E1_yxx_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_tt@surf@nt@pr@ws@surf_360.png
Looks like something is coming :thumbup: Probably not 100 mm but anything helps.
ens_image.png
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Aug 08, 2024 10:57 pm That may be true, but this weather is garbage.
Lets think positive now Bono...Could be worse..like 3 days of 33-36c and humid, and then repeated shots of similar :shock: :shock:
Its almost mid August..days are shorter..cool night time temps are on the horizon! :thumbup: :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

PortKells wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 11:31 am Looks like something is coming :thumbup: Probably not 100 mm but anything helps.

ens_image.png
Graphs have been mostly on point..hopefully this one is too. SCORE! :clap: :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

a Soggy second half of August may just force those Chanterelles to pop early :thumbup: :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Hawk wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 1:50 pm a Soggy second half of August may just force those Chanterelles to pop early :thumbup: :thumbup:
That would be awesome!

Temp 28.3˚C DP 20.0˚C, air feels pretty soggy right now out there!
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 7:52 am Years with significant smoke waves:

2015, 17, 18, 20, 22, 23, 24. 7 years of the last 10.
Plenty in the decades prior to the 1970s as well. 1970s-2000s was a relatively quiet period.
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Re: August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 12:25 pm Graphs have been mostly on point..hopefully this one is too. SCORE! :clap: :clap:
Could see both July and August with above average precip in that case. :o
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