February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Will we see snow in the central valley desert next weekend to far away to predict, my guess is a gradual moderation. 925mb temps will be plus 1c when moisture moves in.
But here's what A.I. Canada says.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Unfortunately there's no bite to this reload slow moderation this week. Even the minus 1c forecast high Tuesday for the central valley desert is suspect with 0 snow cover here.

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[Typeing3]

Currently -6c in east Coquitlam.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image.png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

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00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (2).png

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[Weather101]

Nito. What do you think? What track ? Lol I need to fly out Thursday?

[Typeing3]

Low of -7c in east Coquitlam.

[Hawk]

For those interested, here is a reanalysis for the beginning of the January 1954 arctic blast. Notice how the polar lobe dives down from the NE into SWBC/PNW with the picture perfect over the water trajectory. This is what I'm referring to when I say I want an old school arctic outbreak.

Several days into that arctic blast, an active jet stream slammed into the arctic airmass with a low pressure system stalling offshore for a week. Significant snowfall was recorded between the 20th and the 26th that month with 65.4cm at YVR and around 120cm in New West and Abby.

If only we could somehow get a repeat of that event. But unfortunately, we haven't seen a topic tier snowy pattern like that since the 50's.




modera5_19540115_1500_animation.gif

amazing..wow. We need another one of those asap!!

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

M1 get's the goods again.

Screenshot_20250210-081044.png

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Nito. What do you think? What track ? Lol I need to fly out Thursday?

Looks ominous bro, but amazing.

[stuffradio]

Look at this, some whiskers are touching the 15C mark!

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[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Look at this, some whiskers are touching the 15C mark!
2025021000_054@007_E1_yxx_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_tt@surf@nt@pr@ws@surf_360.png

Ya insane that should get someone's pineapple juices flowing. It's currently -3.6c at the pond in south Sardis.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Forum seems stable the last few days Stuffers. just as winter is ending.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Ripped from the AF gorge cold pool strikes down south, it's over for us.

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[wetcoast91]

GFS is quite juicy next week (after Sunday 16). Even the ECMWF shows some rain.
Please just tell me it's not gonna rain at 1,500 m on the 16/17th...

As expected the GFS has done away with all moisture. We see light advection precip with 1500m freezing levels for a few days then right into a massive ridge. It is looking quite dire for the Mountains going into the spring.

[wetcoast91]

Nito. What do you think? What track ? Lol I need to fly out Thursday?

The Eastern CONUS is locked into a snowy pattern. My bet is you will see historic snow depths when all is set and done.