September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Sep 20, 2025 6:20 pm Aside from the 20-30 mm expected this evening (I'll wait and see to believe it), little rain is expected until next weekend and temperatures above 25°C on Tuesday and Wednesday (at least). Where are the +150 mm forecasted last week on the models for the end of September? :thumbdown:
Environment Canada’s current forecast calls for highs of 21˚C at Abbotsford on both Tuesday and Wednesday.

Wouldn’t surprise me if it ends up a bit warmer but I doubt it gets above 25˚C.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Sep 20, 2025 6:43 pm Environment Canada’s current forecast calls for highs of 21˚C at Abbotsford on both Tuesday and Wednesday.

Wouldn’t surprise me if it ends up a bit warmer but I doubt it gets above 25˚C.
Yeah... Environment Canada. :lol:

Today it was supposed to be 21°C in Pitt Meadows. We had 25°C.
Supposed to be 28°C in the Interior hot spots. They had 29-31°C.

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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Sep 20, 2025 6:20 pm Aside from the 20-30 mm expected this evening (I'll wait and see to believe it), little rain is expected until next weekend and temperatures above 25°C on Tuesday and Wednesday (at least). Where are the +150 mm forecasted last week on the models for the end of September? :thumbdown:
Things were starting to look a bit more active/wet, but ya, not so much anymore.

:shrug:

Might be waiting until Oct now for things to get going.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: Sat Sep 20, 2025 1:13 pm Is your place up by Osprey Lake Hawk?
Last edited by Hawk on Sat Sep 20, 2025 8:53 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: Sat Sep 20, 2025 1:13 pm Is your place up by Osprey Lake Hawk?
Without giving away my location, it’s on the
5a :shh:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Sep 20, 2025 1:14 pm There was a ~20 day stretch with snow on the ground here between late Dec '81 through early Jan '82. Chilly NW flow wet snow to begin which transitioned into a significant cold snap after New Years (low temp of -17.5c in Pitt Meadows). Warmed up thereafter with a bit more snow and plenty of rain but two weeks later we had a brief but significant overrunning snow event as well.
One of the few I vaguely remember. I lived in M Ridge east. We got quite a bit of snow at 300 ft and a long cold run :hearteyes:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: Sat Sep 20, 2025 8:47 pm Without giving away my location, it’s on the
5a :shh:
So you’re safe from the fire up there then?

:thumbup:
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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Sep 20, 2025 6:20 pm Aside from the 20-30 mm expected this evening (I'll wait and see to believe it), little rain is expected until next weekend and temperatures above 25°C on Tuesday and Wednesday (at least). Where are the +150 mm forecasted last week on the models for the end of September? :thumbdown:
It looks like the front has already passed us quickly and the main rain band is now into western Washington. I don't think we're going to see 20-30mm. The good news is the fire hose is now aiming at western Washington, especially the Olympics, and it's looking like the front might stall for a bit, which hopefully will help put out the stubborn Bear Gulch fire that has been the source for our smoky skies lately.The models have been massively overdoing rain lately, especially in the long range. It's a rain mirage!
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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: Sat Sep 20, 2025 8:51 pm So you’re safe from the fire up there then?

:thumbup:
Another fire? i’ll have to check the fire site but my sources haven’t notified me so I’m sure it’s good.
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Looks like 8.6 mm overnight here.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Sep 20, 2025 6:20 pm Aside from the 20-30 mm expected this evening (I'll wait and see to believe it), little rain is expected until next weekend and temperatures above 25°C on Tuesday and Wednesday (at least). Where are the +150 mm forecasted last week on the models for the end of September? :thumbdown:
next weekend Goose! :raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

hardly rained much here..maybe 5mm +/- is my guess
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

8.5mm looks like it all went a bit more south than expected
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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

The great EC forecast: 20-30 mm.
Reality: 7-10 mm...

As usual.
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Re: September 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

3.3mm imby

Coquitlam’s gauge across the street shows 7mm.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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