October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

stuffradio wrote: Sat Oct 25, 2025 5:35 pm When I was volunteering to collect weather data for Environment Canada, I seem to remember 4 PM being the cut-off for a day. I don’t know why that’s in my mind right now.
Yes the cutoff for daily data is 22:00 hours for E.C. but in reality l think most members here go from midnight to midnight when their PWS's reset. :thumbup: :D
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Why does the Abby forecast call for: Wind south 30 km/h gusting to 50 becoming southwest 50 gusting to 80 after midnight.
With gusts to 80k, I would assume that warrants a Warning, especially for the first wind that strong and most trees still have half or more of their leaves.
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Hound wrote: Sat Oct 25, 2025 9:54 pm Why does the Abby forecast call for: Wind south 30 km/h gusting to 50 becoming southwest 50 gusting to 80 after midnight.
With gusts to 80k, I would assume that warrants a Warning, especially for the first wind that strong and most trees still have half or more of their leaves.
I'd be surprised if gusts reached 80km/h here. I'm expecting gusts in the range of 55-65 km/h with perhaps a peak gust of 70km/h max. :wave:
That said, I was surprised Environment Canada didn't issue a Special Weather Statement. While wind gusts are not expected to reach official warning criteria, even 60-70km/h gusts can cause nuisance power outages. Given that this is our first fall storm, I was expecting a statement to be issued.
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

That's ok Jr. Our old friends at the VWP think it's going to snow! lol!
2025-10-25_230854.jpg
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

And what is this? Why does it show a warning all the way out past Langley and talks about gusts to 90k? Yet on the actual forecast page there is no warning. Such inconsistency!! Sure, it says North Delta in the text but........... :problem:

2025-10-26_000345.jpg
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Hound wrote: Sat Oct 25, 2025 11:10 pm That's ok Jr. Our old friends at the VWP think it's going to snow! lol!

2025-10-25_230854.jpg
Yay! Snow! :lol: :lol:
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Good morning. And there it is. EC has changed the Abby forecast now to high of 9C :think: :think:
Expected.
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Hound wrote: Sat Oct 25, 2025 11:10 pm That's ok Jr. Our old friends at the VWP think it's going to snow! lol!

2025-10-25_230854.jpg
The hallmark of a forecast that was automatically generated from raw model output without any human input. Also the hallmark of a forecast model and its lack of resolution causing it to fail to realize that the bottom of the Fraser Valley is as low as it is.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Oct 25, 2025 5:06 pm The EC forecast :14clown: for Coquitlam for today and tonight was 30-50 mm.
Rainfall so far: 5 mm... :clap:
16-17 mm! 😂😂😂🤡🤡🤡
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Next weekend is when we fall back an hour and sleep in.
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Hawk wrote: Sun Oct 26, 2025 5:34 am Good morning. And there it is. EC has changed the Abby forecast now to high of 9C :think: :think:
Expected.
Fortunately, they changed for 8°C. :clap: :clap: :clap:
The max is 10.1°C so far... What was the forecast yesterday? Oh, yeah, 6°C... It's not even the minimum!
Bunch of clowns! :14clown:

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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

High of 8.5C here yesterday, and 8.5C again today so far (high at 3:04 am). Currently 7.5C

32.0 mm of rain since Wednesday.

Peak wind gust 50.7 km/h.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2025/26
Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The wind never quite materialized here either. A bit gusty overnight, but nothing noteworthy.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Apparently it was quite gusty overnight here. I'm not sure what the actual wind speed was but some metal chairs fell down the deck stairs apparently.
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

stuffradio wrote: Sun Oct 26, 2025 6:14 pm Apparently it was quite gusty overnight here. I'm not sure what the actual wind speed was but some metal chairs fell down the deck stairs apparently.
You mean @ the pond Mr. New Sardis man? :o :wtf:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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