December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Storm
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 3:18 pm Truthfully, I don't have time to ride the models like I used to. I take a glance once or twice a day and time permitting post a map or two.


:dunno:
Me too. Those operational runs are silly.

Speaking of 18z apocalyptic run.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Close but yet so far Cheam range in Chilliwack today.
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Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 3:41 pm Catastrophic
Insane :sick: l don't think Sasquatch's can swim. :lol:
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Thu Dec 04, 2025 5:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 2:51 pm That is quite the rain storm being shown on the 18Z GFS. Yikes.

:14clown:

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Battleground setup in the central interior and north coast on those frames with the advance of the arctic air held up. Heavy snows for those regions with mild rain over the south coast.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 3:22 pm Yikes is right. Look at the 10 day total. :shock:
Sumas Lake will return with those rainfall totals.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

December 1933 repeat: 775.1mm of rain for Coquitlam Lake.
See here: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1933

December 1925 was a big one too! 730.4mm of rain for Coquitlam Lake: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 5&Month=12#

:alert: :raindrip: :raindrip: :alert:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 5:18 pm Sumas Lake will return with those rainfall totals.
l saw a report on Global news that the Barrow town pump upgrade was completed so perhaps the Sumas prairie could survive this time around should this scenario verify Tman.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

HarrisonSasquatchWx wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 5:44 pm l saw a report on Global news that the Barrow town pump upgrade was completed so perhaps the Sumas prairie could survive this time around should this scenario verify Tman.
Unfortunately, I don't think that would prevent another flood but it will help to ensure the Barrowtown pump station remains fully functional in the event of another flood. Back in November 2021, they almost had to shut it down completely, which would have significantly worsened the flood.

Here is the summary of the upgrades:
Upgrades to the Barrowtown Pump Station will increase its capacity and resilience to flooding. The improvements include:
  • adding a six-metre floodwall to reduce the possibility of the station shutting down if the Sumas Prairie is flooded;
  • upgrading the debris screen, or trash rack, to reduce fish access to the pumps and prevent large debris from entering the system intake;
  • replacing pump motors to improve station efficiency and operating flexibility, as well as increasing its overall pumping capacity; and
  • transitioning to a dual substation with the addition of a second BC Hydro power feed, to make the pump station’s power supply more robust.
Source: https://www.abbotsford.ca/city-hall/new ... ople-safer
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Canada Goose wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 6:16 pm No cold for you! https://x.com/i/status/1996758395357913470
Pineapples for us! :raindrip:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 4:56 pm Me too. Those operational runs are silly.

Speaking of 18z apocalyptic run.
ens_image.png
Clear trend of some active pattern here with more cold sliding to the Eastern country.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 7:43 pm Clear trend of some active pattern here with more cold sliding to the Eastern country.
Arctic boundary stuck at Williams Lake... then slides east! :lol:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 7:21 pm Unfortunately, I don't think that would prevent another flood but it will help to ensure the Barrowtown pump station remains fully functional in the event of another flood. Back in November 2021, they almost had to shut it down completely, which would have significantly worsened the flood.

Here is the summary of the upgrades:

Source: https://www.abbotsford.ca/city-hall/new ... ople-safer
It came so close to flooding in 2021. It would have flooded if locals hadn’t volunteered and built a temporary barrier to keep the water out.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british- ... -1.6294127
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The 00Z GFS has backed off on next weekends AR but still shows significant rainfall. Looks like a 24hr event now versus the 48hr deluge shown on the 18Z run. Also, it shows much higher totals over Victoria than Abbotsford, which is quite unusual. Either way, looks very wet next week. :wave: :raindrip:

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-5584000.png
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

What a B.S. start to meteorological winter ready to pack it in. :x
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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