December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

John wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 1:36 pm Seriously? Do you have some maps to go with that?
I like looking at the WRF models for our region. The NAM was showing a similar track with a compact preasure field.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 2:02 pm You still have access to WB snowmaps? Vancouver Island snowstorm is back in play!
Yeah, no kidding. So close, but yet so far.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 2:05 pm Yeah, no kidding. So close, but yet so far.
White Christmas for Monty and Michael1.

Still 24 hours to see this play out. A wobble eastward with a weaker low would be just enough to bring the snow to the LM.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 2:04 pm I like looking at the WRF models for our region. The NAM was showing a similar track with a compact preasure field.
It is a scenario where I would hate to be a forecaster. NAM is pure trouble for the region, yet the EURO and HRDPS say don't worry. Damned if you do, damned if you don't, as far as warnings are concerned.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 2:07 pm White Christmas for Monty and Michael1.

Still 24 hours to see this play out. A wobble eastward with a weaker low would be just enough to bring the snow to the LM.
:wish:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 2:07 pm White Christmas for Monty and Michael1.

Still 24 hours to see this play out. A wobble eastward with a weaker low would be just enough to bring the snow to the LM.
We'll see. It'd be great, but... seems to good to be true lol
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Siberia has just overtaken the Yukon with -58.8°C.

Meanwhile, in Vancouver... :lol:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Canada Goose wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 2:32 pm Siberia has just overtaken the Yukon with -58.8°C.

Meanwhile, in Vancouver... :lol:
All that bitter cold is going to the Eastern CONUS. Seems like we always see prolonged West Coast ridging every January.

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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 2:57 pm Seems like we always see prolonged West Coast ridging every January.
Great... if it verifies. :sick:

Otherwise, Vancouver could have its first frost-free December, and there is a good chance that it will be the warmest December ever recorded. :clap:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Heavy 254 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 1:34 pm NAM and GFS are look pretty bad. SW Metro Vancouver could see sustained 50-70km/hr winds but gusts could reach 120km/hr. I feel that might be conservative though.

I think the Euro/GEM are wrong in showing this fizzle out.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Granddaddyp2233 »

HarrisonSasquatchWx wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 1:50 pm Batten down the hatches Granddaddy2233. :shock:
No snow forecasted just boring winds. Would be nice to be in Montreal right now. Even the Habs look good this year
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 2:07 pm It is a scenario where I would hate to be a forecaster. NAM is pure trouble for the region, yet the EURO and HRDPS say don't worry. Damned if you do, damned if you don't, as far as warnings are concerned.
I’d be inclined to side with the Euro and HRDPS but it’s going to be a very tough forecast. Strange to see such major model differences at this range. But windstorms are very hard to predict here.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Canada Goose wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 12:06 pm -55.7°C Braeburn, Yukon

LOWEST TEMPERATURE RECORDED IN CANADA IN DECEMBER SINCE 1975 [-56.7°C]
ALL-TIME RECORD FOR THE STATION

-52.5°C Faro
-52.2°C Nursery & Rabbit Kettle, NT
-51.8°C Carmacks
-50.5°C Pelly Ranch
-50.2°C Beaver Creek
Incredible cold in Yukon this month. Seems like this will be a top 5 coldest December on record for many locations up there. Even the far north in BC has gotten in on it... Fort Nelson and Dease Lake for example.

Further south in Fort St. John and the southern Peace Region, it's one of their snowiest months on record already IIRC.

One would think the dam will break at some point, but there are instances of past winters that have been brutally cold up there and failed to deliver here.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 3:45 pm Incredible cold in Yukon this month. Seems like this will be a top 5 coldest December on record for many locations up there. Even the far north in BC has gotten in on it... Fort Nelson and Dease Lake for example.

Further south in Fort St. John and the southern Peace Region, it's one of their snowiest months on record already IIRC.

One would think the dam will break at some point, but there are instances of past winters that have been brutally cold up there and failed to deliver here.
Currently the 6th coldest at Dawson. 11th coldest at Old Crow.

Anyone in the top 5 doesn't have records as long as Dawson.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Record warmth in the US and arctic
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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