February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Wed Feb 11, 2026 10:04 am Catnip quietly slips back into the mix...lured in by the troffiness in the models. At least this time it is only about 10 days out from a potentially (very) snowy situation :shock: :shock:
Yeah a Vancouver centric snowy situation. No real concerns of getting overly suppressed as of now. Hopefully we get a massive snowstorm, shut out the yanks and win the Olympic gold medal on the same day.
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Hawk
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

fwiw, the 12z King gfs gives us copious amounts of cold rain over the next 14. Not much for snow..lets hope the gfs is wrong this time. The flip side is that the local mountains should get stacked with snow..only 2-3 months too late! :silent:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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PortKells
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Euro seems more detailed and the temps support snow. I wonder if their 850 temps are more accurate despite the aifs having superior 500 mb accuracy.
IMG_2456.png
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: Wed Feb 11, 2026 10:04 am Catnip quietly slips back into the mix...lured in by the troffiness in the models. At least this time it is only about 10 days out from a potentially (very) snowy situation :shock: :shock:
It is #FEB Buttee...

Winter is on it's way.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

PortKells wrote: Wed Feb 11, 2026 10:07 am Look at the North South Gradient on the Euro. This is starting to look like a something burger.


ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-1770811200-1771264800-1771848000-40-4.gif
#FEB
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Feb 11, 2026 9:23 am -15/-16 850s off the coast....

:lol: :lol:

850th.us_nw.png
Maritime Polar airmass = :flakey: :raindrip: :raindrip: :flakey:
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Wed Feb 11, 2026 10:55 am Euro seems more detailed and the temps support snow. I wonder if their 850 temps are more accurate despite the aifs having superior 500 mb accuracy.

IMG_2456.png
More phantom snow! :clap:
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert:

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Screenshot_20260211_114225_Chrome.jpg
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:typing: :type3:
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tyweather
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

I am heading to Campbell River for Tuesday afternoon and back on Wednesday evening. Hopefully both airports are agreeable.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

The Daily Hive says it's gonna snow, so... 🤡

Seriously, wake me up 2 days before the snow is supposed to fall.
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Hawk wrote: Wed Feb 11, 2026 10:14 am fwiw, the 12z King gfs gives us copious amounts of cold rain over the next 14. Not much for snow..lets hope the gfs is wrong this time. The flip side is that the local mountains should get stacked with snow..only 2-3 months too late! :silent:
I would love more of an over the water trajectory over the trough axis digging too far south or further inland. Yeah, we would see cold rain but the Mountain snowpack would quickly build up.
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 11, 2026 11:13 am More phantom snow! :clap:
Yeah, the Euro snow map is almost certainly way overdone. But I wouldn't be surprised to see some low elevation snow with the modelled pattern. :wave: :flakey:
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Feb 11, 2026 12:48 pm Yeah, the Euro snow map is almost certainly way overdone. But I wouldn't be surprised to see some low elevation snow with the modelled pattern. :wave: :flakey:
Even the El Notso pineapple 🍍 map is coming around to accept the fact we might see some low elevation flakes. :D
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Canada Goose wrote: Wed Feb 11, 2026 12:05 pm The Daily Hive says it's gonna snow, so... 🤡

Seriously, wake me up 2 days before the snow is supposed to fall.
this... :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Canada Goose wrote: Wed Feb 11, 2026 12:05 pm The Daily Hive says it's gonna snow, so... 🤡

Seriously, wake me up 2 days before the snow is supposed to fall.
I told you Cpt. Goose the media garbage called it first. :lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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