February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Michael1
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Feb 10, 2025 8:13 am M1 get's the goods again. :shock: Screenshot_20250210-081044.png
I was surprised to wake up to 2cm of snow. Just north of us in Qualicum and Dashwood what started as a few flakes, turned into a white out
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Michael1 wrote: Mon Feb 10, 2025 9:01 am I was surprised to wake up to 2cm of snow. Just north of us in Qualicum and Dashwood what started as a few flakes, turned into a white out
Yah, l looked at the Cassidy airport Nanaimo and afew flakes were falling there 30 min. ago must be just enough outflow crossing the strait it looks like.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Canada Goose wrote: Sun Feb 09, 2025 7:00 pm GFS is quite juicy next week (after Sunday 16). Even the ECMWF shows some rain.
Please just tell me it's not gonna rain at 1,500 m on the 16/17th...
The models have been struggling lately. I think at 1500 m at this time of the year you should be fine..hopefully flurries and nice new fresh recent snows :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Feb 10, 2025 6:33 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
20250210143250-21159c91383cd4e9c52c74e17517d122261073b9.png
20250210143236-f683cc4986c293c326e69ff3a365229db11233b6.png
When the 850s are sitting at the bottom, there's unfortunately only one way they can go and that is up. :thumbdown:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Feb 10, 2025 9:03 am Yah, l looked at the Cassidy airport Nanaimo and afew flakes were falling there 30 min. ago must be just enough outflow crossing the strait it looks like.
I figured. It was very dry and I was able to clear the drive with my leaf blower lol
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

Flurrying again
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

still have some lingering cells producing snow pellets/moderate flurries this a.m. on E Island near Qualicum Bay..with the cells looking semi stationary again. :thumbup: :thumbup:

nice little score to those over there :hearteyes:
Last edited by Hawk on Mon Feb 10, 2025 9:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

for the short/mid range from the NWS:

Lots of variability in the forecast for Thursday night into
Friday as the low weakens and moves inland over Oregon.

If the models are struggling trying to figure out whats going down in 3 days, how do the models know whats happening in the 12-15 day period?
:lol: :lol:

Happy Monday John! :wave: :wave:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

Hawk wrote: Mon Feb 10, 2025 9:47 am for the short/mid range from the NWS:

Lots of variability in the forecast for Thursday night into
Friday as the low weakens and moves inland over Oregon.

If the models are struggling trying to figure out whats going down in 3 days, how do the models know whats happening in the 12-15 day period?
:lol: :lol:

Happy Monday John! :wave: :wave:

Good morning buddy!
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

Wow, Chris Doyle, quits X. That’s dumb bit of a winer in my opinion good forecaster though, I will misshim.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: Mon Feb 10, 2025 10:01 am Wow, Chris Doyle, quits X. That’s dumb bit of a winer in my opinion good forecaster though, I will misshim.
Where do we go for our forecast fix John.?
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Kinda sucks when the forum goes quiet may not see many members till next season. :(
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Good mountain snow run on the euro. Not sure if it's happening or not but I'd love to go powder skiing soon.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Feb 10, 2025 10:43 am Kinda sucks when the forum goes quiet may not see many members till next season. :(
Looks like cold will dominate out Eastward with a potential SSW event that favours E based cold until mid March.

We could see a very warm and dry period until maybe late March and April. The Euro spat out some mid teens temps with sunshine :dance: :dance: :dance:
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